Middle East predictions & odds

·
US strikes Iran by...?

Middle East

Politics

US strikes Iran by...?

46%

June 30

$188m Vol.

$7m today

$1m Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

US next strikes Iran on...?

Middle East

Politics

US next strikes Iran on...?

76%

No strike by February 28

$9m Vol.

$1m today

$756k Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

Middle East

Politics

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

55%

February 8

$1m Vol.

$514k today

$23.9k Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Middle East

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

7%

$7m Vol.

$410k today

$337k Liq.

Ends in 20 days

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

Middle East

Politics

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

63%

December 31

$11m Vol.

$226k today

$143k Liq.

336

Ends in 7 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Middle East

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

16%

$10m Vol.

$155k today

$326k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Middle East

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

10%

$4m Vol.

$113k today

$276k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

Middle East

Politics

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

48%

February 13

$743k Vol.

$53.8k today

$23.6k Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Middle East

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

20%

$1m Vol.

$70.1k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Middle East

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

32%

$4m Vol.

$104k Liq.

6

Ends in 11 months

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Middle East

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

20%

$729k Vol.

$58.6k Liq.

Ends in 20 days

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Middle East

Politics

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

32%

$201k Vol.

$21.3k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Middle East

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

40%

$2m Vol.

$71.1k Liq.

8

Ends in 11 months

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?

Middle East

Iran

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?

3%

$423k Vol.

$33.7k Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Middle East

Politics

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

45%

June 30

$2m Vol.

$12.5k Liq.

397

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Middle East

Politics

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

10%

$287k Vol.

$51.1k Liq.

9

Ends in about 2 months

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Middle East

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

26%

$4m Vol.

$64.7k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Middle East

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

36%

$2m Vol.

$38.5k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?

Middle East

Politics

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?

41%

>20%

$120k Vol.

$8.2k Liq.

2

Ends in 20 days

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Middle East

Politics

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

49%

$86.0k Vol.

$8.3k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months