Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Zelenskyy posting 40-79 times on X during March 20-27, 2026, at over 75% implied probability, driven by his consistent high-volume activity—averaging 5-10 daily updates on war progress, aid appeals, and leadership addresses amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict. This range reflects historical patterns since 2022, where weekly tallies rarely dip below 40 despite fluctuations from frontline developments or diplomatic trips. The tight race between 40-59 (42.5%) and 60-79 (35%) stems from uncertainty over 2026 war dynamics, potential U.S. policy shifts post-2024 election, or peace negotiations that could curb intensity. Escalation or major summits could push toward 80+, while de-escalation might favor under 40, with upcoming aid votes and battlefield reports as key catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedZelenskyy # posts March 20 - March 27, 2026?
Zelenskyy # posts March 20 - March 27, 2026?
40-59 43%
60-79 35%
80-99 11%
20-39 8.3%
<20
1%
20-39
8%
40-59
43%
60-79
35%
80-99
11%
100-119
10%
120-139
5%
140-159
8%
160-179
3%
180-199
4%
200+
2%
40-59 43%
60-79 35%
80-99 11%
20-39 8.3%
<20
1%
20-39
8%
40-59
43%
60-79
35%
80-99
11%
100-119
10%
120-139
5%
140-159
8%
160-179
3%
180-199
4%
200+
2%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/ZelenskyyUaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/ZelenskyyUaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Zelenskyy posting 40-79 times on X during March 20-27, 2026, at over 75% implied probability, driven by his consistent high-volume activity—averaging 5-10 daily updates on war progress, aid appeals, and leadership addresses amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict. This range reflects historical patterns since 2022, where weekly tallies rarely dip below 40 despite fluctuations from frontline developments or diplomatic trips. The tight race between 40-59 (42.5%) and 60-79 (35%) stems from uncertainty over 2026 war dynamics, potential U.S. policy shifts post-2024 election, or peace negotiations that could curb intensity. Escalation or major summits could push toward 80+, while de-escalation might favor under 40, with upcoming aid votes and battlefield reports as key catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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