Which company has the best AI model end of March?

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

Ended: Mar 31

Apr 30

Jun 30

Ended: Mar 31

Apr 30

Jun 30

Anthropic 100.0%

Google <1%

OpenAI <1%

Baidu <1%

$16,222,838 Vol.

$16,222,838 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

Google

$1,196,016 Vol.

No

OpenAI

$1,653,187 Vol.

No

Baidu

$3,141,144 Vol.

No

xAI

$1,261,862 Vol.

No

Moonshot

$1,424,813 Vol.

No

Meituan

$1,201,321 Vol.

No

Anthropic

$1,753,531 Vol.

Yes

Alibaba

$1,225,712 Vol.

No

Z.ai

$1,263,181 Vol.

No

DeepSeek

$1,481,355 Vol.

No

Mistral

$620,715 Vol.

No

Anthropic 100.0%

Google <1%

OpenAI <1%

Baidu <1%

$16,222,838 Vol.

$16,222,838 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

Google

$1,196,016 Vol.

No

OpenAI

$1,653,187 Vol.

No

Baidu

$3,141,144 Vol.

No

xAI

$1,261,862 Vol.

No

Moonshot

$1,424,813 Vol.

No

Meituan

$1,201,321 Vol.

No

Anthropic

$1,753,531 Vol.

Yes

Alibaba

$1,225,712 Vol.

No

Z.ai

$1,263,181 Vol.

No

DeepSeek

$1,481,355 Vol.

No

Mistral

$620,715 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Related

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Beware of external links.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which company has the best AI model end of March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Anthropic" at 100%, followed by "Google" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which company has the best AI model end of March?" has generated $16.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which company has the best AI model end of March?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which company has the best AI model end of March?" is "Anthropic" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Google" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which company has the best AI model end of March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Which company has the best AI model end of March?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $16.2 million traded on “Which company has the best AI model end of March?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

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On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "Anthropic" in the "Which company has the best AI model end of March?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "Anthropic" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Which company has the best AI model end of March?" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "Which company has the best AI model end of March?" market has an active community of 3,887 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Which company has the best AI model end of March?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.