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Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 34.9%

France 12.7%

Denmark 11.5%

Australia 7.8%

Polymarket

$49,236,111 Vol.

Finland 34.9%

France 12.7%

Denmark 11.5%

Australia 7.8%

Polymarket

$49,236,111 Vol.

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Finland

$1,822,491 Vol.

35%

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France

$1,362,102 Vol.

13%

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Denmark

$864,974 Vol.

11%

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Australia

$1,147,232 Vol.

8%

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Greece

$1,273,025 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,196,838 Vol.

4%

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Sweden

$920,037 Vol.

4%

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Ukraine

$1,085,459 Vol.

3%

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Italy

$1,484,307 Vol.

2%

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Romania

$871,154 Vol.

2%

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Cyprus

$1,064,752 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$937,348 Vol.

1%

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Czechia

$757,134 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,066,035 Vol.

1%

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Moldova

$1,055,780 Vol.

1%

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Germany

$872,418 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$1,017,247 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,204,801 Vol.

1%

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United Kingdom

$672,718 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,230,023 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$932,193 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,242,582 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,856,304 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$1,940,109 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$2,310,241 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$1,980,223 Vol.

<1%

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Lithuania

$1,442,677 Vol.

<1%

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Poland

$1,821,364 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$760,164 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,704,478 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,198,495 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$1,938,310 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,870,583 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,022,145 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,313,494 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen emerged as early frontrunners after dominating Uuden Musiikin Kilpailu (UMK) on February 28 with their high-energy duet "Liekinheitin" (Flamethrower), securing top jury scores and massive televote support that signals broad appeal in Vienna's May 12-16 contest. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this momentum at 34.9% implied probability, differentiating it from France (12.7%) and Denmark (11.5%), whose recent national final winners—strong ballad entries—lack the same explosive staging buzz. Australia (7.8%) and Greece (6.7%) trail amid ongoing selections for others, but the wide-open field underscores uncertainty with semi-final draws, rehearsals, and geopolitical televote dynamics ahead, where upsets remain common in Eurovision's wisdom-of-crowds voting.

Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen emerged as early frontrunners after dominating Uuden Musiikin Kilpailu (UMK) on February 28 with their high-energy duet "Liekinheitin" (Flamethrower), securing top jury scores and massive televote support that signals broad appeal in Vienna's May 12-16 contest. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this momentum at 34.9% implied probability, differentiating it from France (12.7%) and Denmark (11.5%), whose recent national final winners—strong ballad entries—lack the same explosive staging buzz. Australia (7.8%) and Greece (6.7%) trail amid ongoing selections for others, but the wide-open field underscores uncertainty with semi-final draws, rehearsals, and geopolitical televote dynamics ahead, where upsets remain common in Eurovision's wisdom-of-crowds voting.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen emerged as early frontrunners after dominating Uuden Musiikin Kilpailu (UMK) on February 28 with their high-energy duet "Liekinheitin" (Flamethrower), securing top jury scores and massive televote support that signals broad appeal in Vienna's May 12-16 contest. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this momentum at 34.9% implied probability, differentiating it from France (12.7%) and Denmark (11.5%), whose recent national final winners—strong ballad entries—lack the same explosive staging buzz. Australia (7.8%) and Greece (6.7%) trail amid ongoing selections for others, but the wide-open field underscores uncertainty with semi-final draws, rehearsals, and geopolitical televote dynamics ahead, where upsets remain common in Eurovision's wisdom-of-crowds voting.

Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen emerged as early frontrunners after dominating Uuden Musiikin Kilpailu (UMK) on February 28 with their high-energy duet "Liekinheitin" (Flamethrower), securing top jury scores and massive televote support that signals broad appeal in Vienna's May 12-16 contest. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this momentum at 34.9% implied probability, differentiating it from France (12.7%) and Denmark (11.5%), whose recent national final winners—strong ballad entries—lack the same explosive staging buzz. Australia (7.8%) and Greece (6.7%) trail amid ongoing selections for others, but the wide-open field underscores uncertainty with semi-final draws, rehearsals, and geopolitical televote dynamics ahead, where upsets remain common in Eurovision's wisdom-of-crowds voting.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

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Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

20%
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Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

71%
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Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

88%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 35%, followed by "France" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $49.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.