Polymarket traders assign a 58% implied probability to silver (SI) surpassing $30 by March 31, driven primarily by surging industrial demand from solar panel production and EVs amid China's stimulus package, alongside gold's record rally above $2,650/oz spilling over as a safe-haven proxy. Spot silver holds at $29.72, up 4.1% weekly, buoyed by softer U.S. PPI data fueling 75bps Fed rate-cut odds for 2024 per CME FedWatch. Upside catalysts include Thursday's CPI release and March 20 FOMC; downside risks loom from hawkish rhetoric strengthening the USD index above 104. Trader capital reflects consensus on modest quarter-end seasonality gains averaging 1.8% historically.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$834,302 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
2%
↑ $120
2%
↑ $115
2%
↑ $110
2%
↑ $105
3%
↑ $100
11%
↑ $95
11%
↓ $75
69%
↓ $70
36%
↓ $65
10%
↓ $60
8%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
$834,302 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
2%
↑ $120
2%
↑ $115
2%
↑ $110
2%
↑ $105
3%
↑ $100
11%
↑ $95
11%
↓ $75
69%
↓ $70
36%
↓ $65
10%
↓ $60
8%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Market Opened: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign a 58% implied probability to silver (SI) surpassing $30 by March 31, driven primarily by surging industrial demand from solar panel production and EVs amid China's stimulus package, alongside gold's record rally above $2,650/oz spilling over as a safe-haven proxy. Spot silver holds at $29.72, up 4.1% weekly, buoyed by softer U.S. PPI data fueling 75bps Fed rate-cut odds for 2024 per CME FedWatch. Upside catalysts include Thursday's CPI release and March 20 FOMC; downside risks loom from hawkish rhetoric strengthening the USD index above 104. Trader capital reflects consensus on modest quarter-end seasonality gains averaging 1.8% historically.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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