Polymarket traders price a 42% implied probability for silver (SI) surpassing $30 by March 31, driven primarily by persistent USD weakness and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts amid cooling inflation data. Spot silver trades at $28.65, up 2.5% weekly on industrial demand from solar and electronics sectors, though capped by elevated COMEX inventories at 280 million ounces. Market consensus reflects bullish momentum from gold's rally above $2,700/oz, with silver's gold-silver ratio compressing to 95:1 from 105:1 peaks. Key risks include Thursday's CPI report and March 20 FOMC meeting; a softer print below 3% YoY could propel SI toward $31, while hawkish surprises may reinforce $28 support. Historical EOM rallies average 1.8% in easing cycles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$849,935 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
2%
↑ $120
2%
↑ $115
2%
↑ $110
2%
↑ $105
3%
↑ $100
7%
↑ $95
7%
↓ $75
76%
↓ $70
24%
↓ $65
28%
↓ $60
2%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $25
<1%
$849,935 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
2%
↑ $120
2%
↑ $115
2%
↑ $110
2%
↑ $105
3%
↑ $100
7%
↑ $95
7%
↓ $75
76%
↓ $70
24%
↓ $65
28%
↓ $60
2%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $25
<1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Market Opened: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a 42% implied probability for silver (SI) surpassing $30 by March 31, driven primarily by persistent USD weakness and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts amid cooling inflation data. Spot silver trades at $28.65, up 2.5% weekly on industrial demand from solar and electronics sectors, though capped by elevated COMEX inventories at 280 million ounces. Market consensus reflects bullish momentum from gold's rally above $2,700/oz, with silver's gold-silver ratio compressing to 95:1 from 105:1 peaks. Key risks include Thursday's CPI report and March 20 FOMC meeting; a softer print below 3% YoY could propel SI toward $31, while hawkish surprises may reinforce $28 support. Historical EOM rallies average 1.8% in easing cycles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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