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Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 34.9%

France 12.6%

Denmark 11.6%

Australia 7.8%

Polymarket

$48,609,659 Vol.

Finland 34.9%

France 12.6%

Denmark 11.6%

Australia 7.8%

Polymarket

$48,609,659 Vol.

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Finland

$1,821,373 Vol.

35%

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France

$1,358,846 Vol.

13%

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Denmark

$859,940 Vol.

12%

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Australia

$1,146,077 Vol.

8%

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Greece

$1,271,081 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,193,681 Vol.

4%

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Sweden

$918,793 Vol.

3%

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Ukraine

$1,083,135 Vol.

2%

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Italy

$1,481,657 Vol.

2%

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Romania

$871,123 Vol.

2%

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Cyprus

$1,063,809 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$936,045 Vol.

1%

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Czechia

$757,032 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,065,356 Vol.

1%

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Moldova

$1,055,637 Vol.

1%

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Germany

$872,393 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$1,016,343 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,204,781 Vol.

1%

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United Kingdom

$672,681 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,229,998 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$932,030 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,241,001 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,849,209 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$2,300,651 Vol.

<1%

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Lithuania

$1,433,396 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$758,303 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,694,197 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,186,614 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$1,728,458 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,870,416 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,013,557 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$1,840,562 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$1,763,179 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,303,326 Vol.

<1%

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Poland

$1,816,432 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 35% implied probability as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026, fueled by its dominant UMK win on February 28 that secured strong jury points alongside massive televote potential reminiscent of Finland's 2023 near-miss. Traders see broad appeal in the high-energy duet ahead of Vienna's May showdown. France's Monroe follows at 12.6% with "Regarde!", boosted by her recent live TV debut showcasing operatic flair, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 11.6% on the momentum of "Før vi går hjem" charting alongside Finland post-Melodi Grand Prix victory. With many national finals still pending, including powerhouses like Sweden and Italy, these early odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus amid evolving entries and buzz.

Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 35% implied probability as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026, fueled by its dominant UMK win on February 28 that secured strong jury points alongside massive televote potential reminiscent of Finland's 2023 near-miss. Traders see broad appeal in the high-energy duet ahead of Vienna's May showdown. France's Monroe follows at 12.6% with "Regarde!", boosted by her recent live TV debut showcasing operatic flair, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 11.6% on the momentum of "Før vi går hjem" charting alongside Finland post-Melodi Grand Prix victory. With many national finals still pending, including powerhouses like Sweden and Italy, these early odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus amid evolving entries and buzz.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 35% implied probability as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026, fueled by its dominant UMK win on February 28 that secured strong jury points alongside massive televote potential reminiscent of Finland's 2023 near-miss. Traders see broad appeal in the high-energy duet ahead of Vienna's May showdown. France's Monroe follows at 12.6% with "Regarde!", boosted by her recent live TV debut showcasing operatic flair, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 11.6% on the momentum of "Før vi går hjem" charting alongside Finland post-Melodi Grand Prix victory. With many national finals still pending, including powerhouses like Sweden and Italy, these early odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus amid evolving entries and buzz.

Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 35% implied probability as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026, fueled by its dominant UMK win on February 28 that secured strong jury points alongside massive televote potential reminiscent of Finland's 2023 near-miss. Traders see broad appeal in the high-energy duet ahead of Vienna's May showdown. France's Monroe follows at 12.6% with "Regarde!", boosted by her recent live TV debut showcasing operatic flair, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 11.6% on the momentum of "Før vi går hjem" charting alongside Finland post-Melodi Grand Prix victory. With many national finals still pending, including powerhouses like Sweden and Italy, these early odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus amid evolving entries and buzz.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

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Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

20%
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Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

71%
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Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

88%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 35%, followed by "France" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $48.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.