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Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 34.9%

France 12.7%

Denmark 11.5%

Australia 7.8%

Polymarket

$49,115,604 Vol.

Finland 34.9%

France 12.7%

Denmark 11.5%

Australia 7.8%

Polymarket

$49,115,604 Vol.

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Finland

$1,822,438 Vol.

35%

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France

$1,362,102 Vol.

13%

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Denmark

$864,974 Vol.

11%

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Australia

$1,147,232 Vol.

8%

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Greece

$1,273,025 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,196,838 Vol.

4%

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Sweden

$920,037 Vol.

4%

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Ukraine

$1,085,459 Vol.

3%

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Italy

$1,484,014 Vol.

2%

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Romania

$871,154 Vol.

2%

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Cyprus

$1,064,641 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$937,248 Vol.

1%

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Czechia

$757,134 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,066,035 Vol.

1%

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Moldova

$1,055,780 Vol.

1%

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Germany

$872,418 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$1,017,247 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,204,801 Vol.

1%

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United Kingdom

$672,718 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,230,023 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$932,193 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,242,471 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,856,071 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$1,939,756 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$2,310,241 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$1,979,877 Vol.

<1%

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Lithuania

$1,442,429 Vol.

<1%

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Poland

$1,821,364 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$760,164 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,704,103 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,198,162 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$1,938,310 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,870,583 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,022,012 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,313,056 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen commands a 35% implied probability as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus, propelled by its dominant UMK national final win last month, blending classical flair with pop hooks to appeal across juries and televoters—a rare feat echoing Nordic strengths like Sweden's past victories. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") at 12.6% and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund hold strong second and third spots after compelling music video drops in early March, fueling fan polls and predictive models like The Model. Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") leverages celebrity draw at 7.8%, while Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") climbs post-national final buzz. With all 35 entries released for Vienna's May showdown, recent odds surges reflect streaming traction and rehearsal previews, but jury-televote divergences and geopolitical televote swings could upend the pack.

Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen commands a 35% implied probability as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus, propelled by its dominant UMK national final win last month, blending classical flair with pop hooks to appeal across juries and televoters—a rare feat echoing Nordic strengths like Sweden's past victories. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") at 12.6% and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund hold strong second and third spots after compelling music video drops in early March, fueling fan polls and predictive models like The Model. Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") leverages celebrity draw at 7.8%, while Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") climbs post-national final buzz. With all 35 entries released for Vienna's May showdown, recent odds surges reflect streaming traction and rehearsal previews, but jury-televote divergences and geopolitical televote swings could upend the pack.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen commands a 35% implied probability as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus, propelled by its dominant UMK national final win last month, blending classical flair with pop hooks to appeal across juries and televoters—a rare feat echoing Nordic strengths like Sweden's past victories. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") at 12.6% and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund hold strong second and third spots after compelling music video drops in early March, fueling fan polls and predictive models like The Model. Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") leverages celebrity draw at 7.8%, while Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") climbs post-national final buzz. With all 35 entries released for Vienna's May showdown, recent odds surges reflect streaming traction and rehearsal previews, but jury-televote divergences and geopolitical televote swings could upend the pack.

Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen commands a 35% implied probability as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus, propelled by its dominant UMK national final win last month, blending classical flair with pop hooks to appeal across juries and televoters—a rare feat echoing Nordic strengths like Sweden's past victories. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") at 12.6% and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund hold strong second and third spots after compelling music video drops in early March, fueling fan polls and predictive models like The Model. Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") leverages celebrity draw at 7.8%, while Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") climbs post-national final buzz. With all 35 entries released for Vienna's May showdown, recent odds surges reflect streaming traction and rehearsal previews, but jury-televote divergences and geopolitical televote swings could upend the pack.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

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Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

21%
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Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

71%
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Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

88%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 35%, followed by "France" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $49.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.