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Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 34.9%

France 13.0%

Denmark 11.1%

Australia 7.8%

Polymarket

$49,377,248 Vol.

Finland 34.9%

France 13.0%

Denmark 11.1%

Australia 7.8%

Polymarket

$49,377,248 Vol.

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Finland

$1,822,787 Vol.

35%

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France

$1,370,377 Vol.

13%

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Denmark

$872,260 Vol.

11%

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Australia

$1,148,466 Vol.

8%

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Greece

$1,274,329 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,199,205 Vol.

4%

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Sweden

$920,908 Vol.

4%

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Ukraine

$1,086,545 Vol.

2%

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Italy

$1,486,212 Vol.

2%

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Romania

$871,334 Vol.

2%

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Cyprus

$1,065,804 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$938,103 Vol.

1%

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Czechia

$757,314 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,097,967 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,205,526 Vol.

1%

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Moldova

$1,064,476 Vol.

1%

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Germany

$873,705 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$1,017,509 Vol.

1%

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United Kingdom

$672,898 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,230,203 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$932,482 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,243,423 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,862,693 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$1,946,310 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$2,315,641 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$1,990,050 Vol.

<1%

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Lithuania

$1,447,527 Vol.

<1%

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Poland

$1,826,652 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$760,673 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,709,839 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,205,643 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$1,944,863 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,870,775 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,029,708 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,318,204 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen surged to frontrunner status with 34.9% implied probability after dominating UMK 2026 last month, clinching both international jury and televote victories with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," generating massive early buzz for broad appeal in Vienna. France's internally selected Monroe follows at 13% on the strength of her March release "Regarde!," praised for its polished pop production, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 11.1% thanks to his emotive Danish-language ballad "Før Vi Går Hjem," winner of Melodi Grand Prix. The wide-open field reflects ongoing national selections across Sweden, Italy, and others, with trader consensus eyeing jury-televote balance and staging previews as key swing factors ahead of May semis.

Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen surged to frontrunner status with 34.9% implied probability after dominating UMK 2026 last month, clinching both international jury and televote victories with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," generating massive early buzz for broad appeal in Vienna. France's internally selected Monroe follows at 13% on the strength of her March release "Regarde!," praised for its polished pop production, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 11.1% thanks to his emotive Danish-language ballad "Før Vi Går Hjem," winner of Melodi Grand Prix. The wide-open field reflects ongoing national selections across Sweden, Italy, and others, with trader consensus eyeing jury-televote balance and staging previews as key swing factors ahead of May semis.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen surged to frontrunner status with 34.9% implied probability after dominating UMK 2026 last month, clinching both international jury and televote victories with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," generating massive early buzz for broad appeal in Vienna. France's internally selected Monroe follows at 13% on the strength of her March release "Regarde!," praised for its polished pop production, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 11.1% thanks to his emotive Danish-language ballad "Før Vi Går Hjem," winner of Melodi Grand Prix. The wide-open field reflects ongoing national selections across Sweden, Italy, and others, with trader consensus eyeing jury-televote balance and staging previews as key swing factors ahead of May semis.

Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen surged to frontrunner status with 34.9% implied probability after dominating UMK 2026 last month, clinching both international jury and televote victories with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," generating massive early buzz for broad appeal in Vienna. France's internally selected Monroe follows at 13% on the strength of her March release "Regarde!," praised for its polished pop production, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 11.1% thanks to his emotive Danish-language ballad "Før Vi Går Hjem," winner of Melodi Grand Prix. The wide-open field reflects ongoing national selections across Sweden, Italy, and others, with trader consensus eyeing jury-televote balance and staging previews as key swing factors ahead of May semis.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

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Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

20%
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Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

70%
Market icon

Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

88%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 35%, followed by "France" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $49.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.