Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs The Weeknd as the #2 Spotify artist for March, with 98.3% implied probability, driven by his entrenched second-place spot on the platform's global monthly listener leaderboard—trailing only Taylor Swift—buoyed by massive, steady streams from catalog staples like the all-time chart-topping "Blinding Lights." Recent leaderboard updates confirm a wide margin over challengers like Bad Bunny (third at ~75M listeners) and no disruptive new releases, viral singles, or promotional pushes from rivals in the past week have narrowed the gap. With March streaming totals locking at month's end, upset scenarios remain slim but could involve an explosive last-minute album drop or TikTok-fueled surge from Drake, Kendrick Lamar, or Bad Bunny, though historical late-month swings rarely overcome such leads.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated#2 Spotify artist in March?
#2 Spotify artist in March?
The Weeknd 98.4%
Bad Bunny <1%
Rihanna <1%
Kanye West <1%
$121,010 Vol.
$121,010 Vol.
The Weeknd
98%
Bad Bunny
1%
Rihanna
<1%
Kanye West
<1%
Ed Sheeran
<1%
Bruno Mars
<1%
Noah Kahan
<1%
Taylor Swift
<1%
Billie Eilish
<1%
Kendrick Lamar
<1%
Drake
<1%
Lady Gaga
<1%
Coldplay
<1%
The Weeknd 98.4%
Bad Bunny <1%
Rihanna <1%
Kanye West <1%
$121,010 Vol.
$121,010 Vol.
The Weeknd
98%
Bad Bunny
1%
Rihanna
<1%
Kanye West
<1%
Ed Sheeran
<1%
Bruno Mars
<1%
Noah Kahan
<1%
Taylor Swift
<1%
Billie Eilish
<1%
Kendrick Lamar
<1%
Drake
<1%
Lady Gaga
<1%
Coldplay
<1%
The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total.
In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data.
The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.
Market Opened: Feb 26, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs The Weeknd as the #2 Spotify artist for March, with 98.3% implied probability, driven by his entrenched second-place spot on the platform's global monthly listener leaderboard—trailing only Taylor Swift—buoyed by massive, steady streams from catalog staples like the all-time chart-topping "Blinding Lights." Recent leaderboard updates confirm a wide margin over challengers like Bad Bunny (third at ~75M listeners) and no disruptive new releases, viral singles, or promotional pushes from rivals in the past week have narrowed the gap. With March streaming totals locking at month's end, upset scenarios remain slim but could involve an explosive last-minute album drop or TikTok-fueled surge from Drake, Kendrick Lamar, or Bad Bunny, though historical late-month swings rarely overcome such leads.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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