Romania No-Confidence vote passes?

>99% chance

$63,251 Vol.

May 5, 2026

>99% chance

$63,251 Vol.

May 5, 2026

A no-confidence motion against the government of Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan is expected to be voted upon in the Romanian parliament on May 5, 2026 (see: https://www.reuters.com/business/romanias-two-largest-parties-call-no-confidence-vote-pro-european-government-2026-04-28/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the no-confidence motion against the Romanian government submitted on April 28, 2026 passes in the Romanian Parliament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the referenced motion of no confidence against the Romanian government is withdrawn, dismissed, or otherwise removed from consideration, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote is held on the referenced motion of no confidence by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Romanian Parliament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?

55%

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?

22%

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?

37%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Romania No-Confidence vote passes?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Romania No-Confidence vote passes?" has generated $63.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Romania No-Confidence vote passes?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Romania No-Confidence vote passes?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Romania No-Confidence vote passes?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Romania No-Confidence vote passes?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $63.3K traded on “Romania No-Confidence vote passes?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Romania No-Confidence vote passes?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of "Yes" or "No" represents the market's implied probability. A "Yes" price of 100¢ for "Romania No-Confidence vote passes?" means traders collectively believe there is a 100% chance this event will happen. If you buy "Yes" at 100¢ and the event does happen, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If the event doesn't happen, those shares are worth $0.

The "Romania No-Confidence vote passes?" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "Romania No-Confidence vote passes?" market has an active community of 13 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Romania No-Confidence vote passes?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Romania No-Confidence vote passes?

Romania No-Confidence vote passes?

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Related

Comments (13)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Romania No-Confidence vote passes?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Romania No-Confidence vote passes?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Romania No-Confidence vote passes?"?

What are the current odds for "Romania No-Confidence vote passes?"?

How will "Romania No-Confidence vote passes?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Romania No-Confidence vote passes?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Romania No-Confidence vote passes?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Romania No-Confidence vote passes?"?

What does a price of 100¢ for "Yes" mean?

When does the "Romania No-Confidence vote passes?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Romania No-Confidence vote passes?"?

What is Polymarket?