Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67% implied probability that COMEX gold futures (GC) will settle above $4,600 by end-June 2026, reflecting resilience amid short-term pressures from a firm U.S. dollar index and rising Treasury yields that drove a weekly price drop to $4,707 spot on April 24. Sustained central bank buying—forecast at 60 tonnes monthly—and low real yields continue bolstering the bull market, offsetting inflation fears from elevated crude oil. June 2026 GC futures trade near $4,775, signaling moderate upside expectations. Key catalysts ahead include May 14 CPI data, nonfarm payrolls, and the mid-June FOMC meeting, where policy guidance on rates could pivot sentiment via shifts in rate cut odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGold (GC) above ___ end of June?
Gold (GC) above ___ end of June?
$65,446 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$8,000
9%
$7,000
7%
$6,500
6%
$6,200
4%
$6,000
6%
$5,800
13%
$5,600
19%
$5,400
20%
$5,200
30%
$5,000
43%
$4,800
59%
$4,600
67%
$65,446 Vol.
$8,000
$1,957 Vol.
9%
$7,000
$22,257 Vol.
7%
$6,500
$1,834 Vol.
6%
$6,200
$7,249 Vol.
4%
$6,000
$2,683 Vol.
6%
$5,800
$7,340 Vol.
13%
$5,600
$2,403 Vol.
19%
$5,400
$1,129 Vol.
20%
$5,200
$2,535 Vol.
30%
$5,000
$1,436 Vol.
43%
$4,800
$7,227 Vol.
59%
$4,600
$7,397 Vol.
67%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67% implied probability that COMEX gold futures (GC) will settle above $4,600 by end-June 2026, reflecting resilience amid short-term pressures from a firm U.S. dollar index and rising Treasury yields that drove a weekly price drop to $4,707 spot on April 24. Sustained central bank buying—forecast at 60 tonnes monthly—and low real yields continue bolstering the bull market, offsetting inflation fears from elevated crude oil. June 2026 GC futures trade near $4,775, signaling moderate upside expectations. Key catalysts ahead include May 14 CPI data, nonfarm payrolls, and the mid-June FOMC meeting, where policy guidance on rates could pivot sentiment via shifts in rate cut odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Volume
$65,446End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67% implied probability that COMEX gold futures (GC) will settle above $4,600 by end-June 2026, reflecting resilience amid short-term pressures from a firm U.S. dollar index and rising Treasury yields that drove a weekly price drop to $4,707 spot on April 24. Sustained central bank buying—forecast at 60 tonnes monthly—and low real yields continue bolstering the bull market, offsetting inflation fears from elevated crude oil. June 2026 GC futures trade near $4,775, signaling moderate upside expectations. Key catalysts ahead include May 14 CPI data, nonfarm payrolls, and the mid-June FOMC meeting, where policy guidance on rates could pivot sentiment via shifts in rate cut odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$65,446End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67% implied probability that COMEX gold futures (GC) will settle above $4,600 by end-June 2026, reflecting resilience amid short-term pressures from a firm U.S. dollar index and rising Treasury yields that drove a weekly price drop to $4,707 spot on April 24. Sustained central bank buying—forecast at 60 tonnes monthly—and low real yields continue bolstering the bull market, offsetting inflation fears from elevated crude oil. June 2026 GC futures trade near $4,775, signaling moderate upside expectations. Key catalysts ahead include May 14 CPI data, nonfarm payrolls, and the mid-June FOMC meeting, where policy guidance on rates could pivot sentiment via shifts in rate cut odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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