UK government officials, including Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Business Secretary Peter Kyle, have repeatedly stated that existing proscription powers under the Terrorism Act 2000 are not designed for state entities like Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), justifying trader consensus at 57% against designation by June 30. Despite the EU's January 29 terrorist listing of the IRGC amid Tehran's crackdowns and recent UK pressures—such as a March 5 London Assembly motion, Liberal Democrat legislation on March 3, and an Early Day Motion—Home Office resistance persists, citing legal hurdles and alternative sanctions. A March 28 Telegraph report on an Iranian spy hub in London has amplified calls, but no parliamentary vote or policy shift signals action before the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日英国は6月30日までにIRGCをテロ組織に指定しますか？
英国は6月30日までにIRGCをテロ組織に指定しますか？
はい
$80,685 Vol.
$80,685 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
はい
$80,685 Vol.
$80,685 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.UK government officials, including Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Business Secretary Peter Kyle, have repeatedly stated that existing proscription powers under the Terrorism Act 2000 are not designed for state entities like Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), justifying trader consensus at 57% against designation by June 30. Despite the EU's January 29 terrorist listing of the IRGC amid Tehran's crackdowns and recent UK pressures—such as a March 5 London Assembly motion, Liberal Democrat legislation on March 3, and an Early Day Motion—Home Office resistance persists, citing legal hurdles and alternative sanctions. A March 28 Telegraph report on an Iranian spy hub in London has amplified calls, but no parliamentary vote or policy shift signals action before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
マーケット開始日： Nov 18, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
音量
$80,685終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.UK government officials, including Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Business Secretary Peter Kyle, have repeatedly stated that existing proscription powers under the Terrorism Act 2000 are not designed for state entities like Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), justifying trader consensus at 57% against designation by June 30. Despite the EU's January 29 terrorist listing of the IRGC amid Tehran's crackdowns and recent UK pressures—such as a March 5 London Assembly motion, Liberal Democrat legislation on March 3, and an Early Day Motion—Home Office resistance persists, citing legal hurdles and alternative sanctions. A March 28 Telegraph report on an Iranian spy hub in London has amplified calls, but no parliamentary vote or policy shift signals action before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
音量
$80,685終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...UK government officials, including Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Business Secretary Peter Kyle, have repeatedly stated that existing proscription powers under the Terrorism Act 2000 are not designed for state entities like Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), justifying trader consensus at 57% against designation by June 30. Despite the EU's January 29 terrorist listing of the IRGC amid Tehran's crackdowns and recent UK pressures—such as a March 5 London Assembly motion, Liberal Democrat legislation on March 3, and an Early Day Motion—Home Office resistance persists, citing legal hurdles and alternative sanctions. A March 28 Telegraph report on an Iranian spy hub in London has amplified calls, but no parliamentary vote or policy shift signals action before the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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