Trader consensus prices no Israeli annexation of West Bank territory before 2027 at 88.5%, reflecting Prime Minister Netanyahu's repeated prioritization of security threats over territorial expansion amid the ongoing Gaza war and recent escalations with Hezbollah in Lebanon. Far-right coalition partners like Finance Minister Smotrich and National Security Minister Ben-Gvir continue advocating sovereignty declarations over Area C settlements and the Jordan Valley, but no Knesset votes or executive actions have advanced formal annexation in the past 30 days. Strong US opposition under the Biden administration, alongside EU and UN diplomatic pressure following the ICJ's July advisory opinion on occupation illegality, reinforces barriers; a Trump victory in the November 5 election could shift dynamics, though historical patterns show Netanyahu's caution to preserve alliances.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$49,865 Vol.
$49,865 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
はい
$49,865 Vol.
$49,865 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices no Israeli annexation of West Bank territory before 2027 at 88.5%, reflecting Prime Minister Netanyahu's repeated prioritization of security threats over territorial expansion amid the ongoing Gaza war and recent escalations with Hezbollah in Lebanon. Far-right coalition partners like Finance Minister Smotrich and National Security Minister Ben-Gvir continue advocating sovereignty declarations over Area C settlements and the Jordan Valley, but no Knesset votes or executive actions have advanced formal annexation in the past 30 days. Strong US opposition under the Biden administration, alongside EU and UN diplomatic pressure following the ICJ's July advisory opinion on occupation illegality, reinforces barriers; a Trump victory in the November 5 election could shift dynamics, though historical patterns show Netanyahu's caution to preserve alliances.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
音量
$49,865終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices no Israeli annexation of West Bank territory before 2027 at 88.5%, reflecting Prime Minister Netanyahu's repeated prioritization of security threats over territorial expansion amid the ongoing Gaza war and recent escalations with Hezbollah in Lebanon. Far-right coalition partners like Finance Minister Smotrich and National Security Minister Ben-Gvir continue advocating sovereignty declarations over Area C settlements and the Jordan Valley, but no Knesset votes or executive actions have advanced formal annexation in the past 30 days. Strong US opposition under the Biden administration, alongside EU and UN diplomatic pressure following the ICJ's July advisory opinion on occupation illegality, reinforces barriers; a Trump victory in the November 5 election could shift dynamics, though historical patterns show Netanyahu's caution to preserve alliances.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$49,865終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices no Israeli annexation of West Bank territory before 2027 at 88.5%, reflecting Prime Minister Netanyahu's repeated prioritization of security threats over territorial expansion amid the ongoing Gaza war and recent escalations with Hezbollah in Lebanon. Far-right coalition partners like Finance Minister Smotrich and National Security Minister Ben-Gvir continue advocating sovereignty declarations over Area C settlements and the Jordan Valley, but no Knesset votes or executive actions have advanced formal annexation in the past 30 days. Strong US opposition under the Biden administration, alongside EU and UN diplomatic pressure following the ICJ's July advisory opinion on occupation illegality, reinforces barriers; a Trump victory in the November 5 election could shift dynamics, though historical patterns show Netanyahu's caution to preserve alliances.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問