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政治·労働部

Who will be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor?

Market icon
政治·労働部

Who will be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor?

$8,484 Vol.

Dec 30, 2023
Polymarket

$8,484 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Julie Su

$7,558 Vol.

No

Market icon

Andy Levin

$54 Vol.

No

Market icon

Tim Ryan

$174 Vol.

No

Market icon

Sean Patrick Maloney

$698 Vol.

No

The incumbent U.S. Secretary of Labor is leaving his role, making him the first cabinet member from the Biden Administration to step down. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deputy Secretary of Labor Julie Su is the next US Secretary of Labor confirmed by the Senate. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve once the next U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the U.S. Senate. If no U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the Senate by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States of America (e.g. https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The incumbent US Secretary of Labor is leaving his role, making him the first cabinet member from the Biden Administration to step down. This market will resolve to "Yes" if former representative Andy Levin is the next US Secretary of Labor confirmed by the Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve once the next U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the U.S. Senate. If no U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the Senate by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the federal government of the United States of America (e.g. https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The incumbent US Secretary of Labor is leaving his role, making him the first cabinet member from the Biden Administration to step down. This market will resolve to "Yes" if former representative Timothy Ryan is the next US Secretary of Labor confirmed by the Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve once the next U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the U.S. Senate. If no U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the Senate by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the federal government of the United States of America (e.g. https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The incumbent US Secretary of Labor is leaving his role, making him the first cabinet member from the Biden Administration to step down. This market will resolve to "Yes" if former representative Sean Patrick Maloney is the next US Secretary of Labor confirmed by the Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve once the next U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the U.S. Senate. If no U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the Senate by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the federal government of the United States of America (e.g. https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The incumbent U.S. Secretary of Labor is leaving his role, making him the first cabinet member from the Biden Administration to step down. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deputy Secretary of Labor Julie Su is the next US Secretary of Labor confirmed by the Senate. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve once the next U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the U.S. Senate. If no U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the Senate by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States of America (e.g. https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The incumbent US Secretary of Labor is leaving his role, making him the first cabinet member from the Biden Administration to step down. This market will resolve to "Yes" if former representative Andy Levin is the next US Secretary of Labor confirmed by the Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve once the next U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the U.S. Senate. If no U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the Senate by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the federal government of the United States of America (e.g. https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The incumbent US Secretary of Labor is leaving his role, making him the first cabinet member from the Biden Administration to step down. This market will resolve to "Yes" if former representative Timothy Ryan is the next US Secretary of Labor confirmed by the Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve once the next U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the U.S. Senate. If no U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the Senate by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the federal government of the United States of America (e.g. https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The incumbent US Secretary of Labor is leaving his role, making him the first cabinet member from the Biden Administration to step down. This market will resolve to "Yes" if former representative Sean Patrick Maloney is the next US Secretary of Labor confirmed by the Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve once the next U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the U.S. Senate. If no U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the Senate by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the federal government of the United States of America (e.g. https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「Who will be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor?」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Julie Su」で0%、次いで「Andy Levin」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、0¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に0%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Who will be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Feb 13, 2023開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Who will be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「Who will be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor?」の現在のリーダーは「Julie Su」でわずか0%、「Andy Levin」が0%で僅差です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Who will be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。