Market icon

次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか?

Market icon

次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか?

ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ 61%

ナフタリ・ベネット 29%

ガディ・アイゼンコット 5.6%

ヤイール・ラピド 1.9%

Polymarket

$1,285,972 Vol.

ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ 61%

ナフタリ・ベネット 29%

ガディ・アイゼンコット 5.6%

ヤイール・ラピド 1.9%

Polymarket

$1,285,972 Vol.

ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ

$230,861 Vol.

61%

ナフタリ・ベネット

$412,257 Vol.

29%

ガディ・アイゼンコット

$70,018 Vol.

6%

ヤイール・ラピド

$40,681 Vol.

2%

ヨッシ・コーヘン

$48,439 Vol.

1%

アヴィグドル・リーベルマン

$135,168 Vol.

1%

ベニー・ガンツ

$24,886 Vol.

1%

アイェレット・シャケド

$22,074 Vol.

1%

モーシェ・フェイグリン

$30,252 Vol.

1%

ヤリブ・レヴィン

$28,275 Vol.

<1%

ヤイール・ゴラン

$62,606 Vol.

<1%

ギデオン・サール

$129,698 Vol.

<1%

イタマール・ベン・グヴィル

$27,138 Vol.

<1%

ヨアズ・ヘンデル

$23,618 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,285,972
終了日
Dec 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ" at 61%, followed by "ナフタリ・ベネット" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか?" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか?" is "ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ナフタリ・ベネット" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.