Market icon
政治·中東

次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか？

Market icon
政治·中東

次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか？

ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ 44%

ナフタリ・ベネット 24%

ガディ・アイゼンコット 17.6%

ヤイール・ラピド 2.9%

Polymarket

$3,643,041 Vol.

ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ 44%

ナフタリ・ベネット 24%

ガディ・アイゼンコット 17.6%

ヤイール・ラピド 2.9%

Polymarket

$3,643,041 Vol.

ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ

$450,421 Vol.

44%

ナフタリ・ベネット

$781,965 Vol.

24%

ガディ・アイゼンコット

$492,666 Vol.

18%

ヤイール・ラピド

$296,853 Vol.

3%

ベニー・ガンツ

$174,921 Vol.

2%

アヴィグドル・リーベルマン

$328,266 Vol.

2%

ヤリブ・レヴィン

$105,709 Vol.

2%

イタマール・ベン・グヴィル

$109,698 Vol.

1%

ヤイール・ゴラン

$249,618 Vol.

1%

ギデオン・サール

$0 Vol.

1%

ヨッシ・コーヘン

$332,202 Vol.

1%

アイェレット・シャケド

$64,730 Vol.

1%

ヨアズ・ヘンデル

$0 Vol.

<1%

モーシェ・フェイグリン

$255,991 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polls for Israel's October 2026 legislative election show Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party leading with 28 projected Knesset seats, sustaining his trader consensus at 43.5% as the frontrunner to form a coalition government despite no outright majority for either bloc. Former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett holds at 24% implied probability amid his active comeback campaign and policy pitches, though slipping slightly in surveys. Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party surged to 16 seats in a March 19 poll—the first overtaking Bennett—boosting his odds to 17.6% on security credentials amid ongoing Iran tensions, with frozen 60-50 seat blocs underscoring coalition negotiations as pivotal. Lower odds for others like Yair Lapid reflect collapsing party support.

Recent polls for Israel's October 2026 legislative election show Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party leading with 28 projected Knesset seats, sustaining his trader consensus at 43.5% as the frontrunner to form a coalition government despite no outright majority for either bloc. Former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett holds at 24% implied probability amid his active comeback campaign and policy pitches, though slipping slightly in surveys. Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party surged to 16 seats in a March 19 poll—the first overtaking Bennett—boosting his odds to 17.6% on security credentials amid ongoing Iran tensions, with frozen 60-50 seat blocs underscoring coalition negotiations as pivotal. Lower odds for others like Yair Lapid reflect collapsing party support.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polls for Israel's October 2026 legislative election show Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party leading with 28 projected Knesset seats, sustaining his trader consensus at 43.5% as the frontrunner to form a coalition government despite no outright majority for either bloc. Former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett holds at 24% implied probability amid his active comeback campaign and policy pitches, though slipping slightly in surveys. Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party surged to 16 seats in a March 19 poll—the first overtaking Bennett—boosting his odds to 17.6% on security credentials amid ongoing Iran tensions, with frozen 60-50 seat blocs underscoring coalition negotiations as pivotal. Lower odds for others like Yair Lapid reflect collapsing party support.

Recent polls for Israel's October 2026 legislative election show Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party leading with 28 projected Knesset seats, sustaining his trader consensus at 43.5% as the frontrunner to form a coalition government despite no outright majority for either bloc. Former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett holds at 24% implied probability amid his active comeback campaign and policy pitches, though slipping slightly in surveys. Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party surged to 16 seats in a March 19 poll—the first overtaking Bennett—boosting his odds to 17.6% on security credentials amid ongoing Iran tensions, with frozen 60-50 seat blocs underscoring coalition negotiations as pivotal. Lower odds for others like Yair Lapid reflect collapsing party support.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか？」はPolymarket上の14個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ」で44%、次いで「ナフタリ・ベネット」が24%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、44¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に44%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか？」は$3.6 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 15, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている14個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ」で44%であり、市場がこの結果に44%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ナフタリ・ベネット」で24%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。