The Abraham Accords, normalizing Israel-UAE, Israel-Bahrain, Israel-Sudan, and Israel-Morocco ties since 2020, saw expansion efforts stall after the October 2023 Hamas attack on Israel and ensuing Gaza conflict. President-elect Donald Trump's November 2024 victory—having brokered the original deals—has revived trader optimism for Saudi Arabia as the frontrunner, fueled by reports of Riyadh's interest in US defense pacts and economic incentives, though conditioned on Palestinian statehood progress. Other potentials like Indonesia and Oman face domestic hurdles and lack firm diplomatic signals. Key watchpoints include Trump's January 2025 inauguration, prospective Netanyahu-Trump summits, and Gaza ceasefire negotiations, any of which could accelerate bilateral talks before 2027.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$302,465 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
ソマリランド
31%
サウジアラビア
21%
シリア
18%
アゼルバイジャン
16%
レバノン
15%
オマーン
15%
クウェート
16%
$302,465 Vol.
ソマリランド
$44,903 Vol.
31%
サウジアラビア
$46,714 Vol.
21%
シリア
$110,357 Vol.
18%
アゼルバイジャン
$0 Vol.
16%
レバノン
$0 Vol.
15%
オマーン
$100,492 Vol.
15%
クウェート
$0 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.The Abraham Accords, normalizing Israel-UAE, Israel-Bahrain, Israel-Sudan, and Israel-Morocco ties since 2020, saw expansion efforts stall after the October 2023 Hamas attack on Israel and ensuing Gaza conflict. President-elect Donald Trump's November 2024 victory—having brokered the original deals—has revived trader optimism for Saudi Arabia as the frontrunner, fueled by reports of Riyadh's interest in US defense pacts and economic incentives, though conditioned on Palestinian statehood progress. Other potentials like Indonesia and Oman face domestic hurdles and lack firm diplomatic signals. Key watchpoints include Trump's January 2025 inauguration, prospective Netanyahu-Trump summits, and Gaza ceasefire negotiations, any of which could accelerate bilateral talks before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 31, 2025, 4:26 PM ET
音量
$302,465終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 31, 2025, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.The Abraham Accords, normalizing Israel-UAE, Israel-Bahrain, Israel-Sudan, and Israel-Morocco ties since 2020, saw expansion efforts stall after the October 2023 Hamas attack on Israel and ensuing Gaza conflict. President-elect Donald Trump's November 2024 victory—having brokered the original deals—has revived trader optimism for Saudi Arabia as the frontrunner, fueled by reports of Riyadh's interest in US defense pacts and economic incentives, though conditioned on Palestinian statehood progress. Other potentials like Indonesia and Oman face domestic hurdles and lack firm diplomatic signals. Key watchpoints include Trump's January 2025 inauguration, prospective Netanyahu-Trump summits, and Gaza ceasefire negotiations, any of which could accelerate bilateral talks before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$302,465終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 31, 2025, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Abraham Accords, normalizing Israel-UAE, Israel-Bahrain, Israel-Sudan, and Israel-Morocco ties since 2020, saw expansion efforts stall after the October 2023 Hamas attack on Israel and ensuing Gaza conflict. President-elect Donald Trump's November 2024 victory—having brokered the original deals—has revived trader optimism for Saudi Arabia as the frontrunner, fueled by reports of Riyadh's interest in US defense pacts and economic incentives, though conditioned on Palestinian statehood progress. Other potentials like Indonesia and Oman face domestic hurdles and lack firm diplomatic signals. Key watchpoints include Trump's January 2025 inauguration, prospective Netanyahu-Trump summits, and Gaza ceasefire negotiations, any of which could accelerate bilateral talks before 2027.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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