President Trump's March 27 appeal to Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to normalize diplomatic relations with Israel amid the ongoing US-Israel conflict with Iran has fueled speculation on expanded Abraham Accords, positioning Saudi Arabia as the pivotal holdout among major Arab states. However, Oman's Foreign Minister Badr Albusaidi reiterated on March 13 that normalization remains off the table without a Palestinian state, reflecting broader regional resistance tied to Gaza tensions and Palestinian demands. No new recognitions have occurred in the past 30 days, with trader consensus likely discounting swift shifts before June 30 given entrenched geopolitical barriers, including Iran hostilities and domestic politics in Muslim-majority non-recognizers like Indonesia, Malaysia, and Pakistan. Upcoming diplomatic summits or ceasefire progress could alter trajectories.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$88,685 Vol.
北朝鮮
4%
キューバ
6%
サウジアラビア
9%
レバノン
6%
アフガニスタン
6%
イラク
5%
パキスタン
7%
シリア
9%
ベネズエラ
9%
チュニジア
11%
クウェート
10%
カタール
8%
インドネシア
7%
マレーシア
5%
バングラデシュ
10%
$88,685 Vol.
北朝鮮
4%
キューバ
6%
サウジアラビア
9%
レバノン
6%
アフガニスタン
6%
イラク
5%
パキスタン
7%
シリア
9%
ベネズエラ
9%
チュニジア
11%
クウェート
10%
カタール
8%
インドネシア
7%
マレーシア
5%
バングラデシュ
10%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's March 27 appeal to Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to normalize diplomatic relations with Israel amid the ongoing US-Israel conflict with Iran has fueled speculation on expanded Abraham Accords, positioning Saudi Arabia as the pivotal holdout among major Arab states. However, Oman's Foreign Minister Badr Albusaidi reiterated on March 13 that normalization remains off the table without a Palestinian state, reflecting broader regional resistance tied to Gaza tensions and Palestinian demands. No new recognitions have occurred in the past 30 days, with trader consensus likely discounting swift shifts before June 30 given entrenched geopolitical barriers, including Iran hostilities and domestic politics in Muslim-majority non-recognizers like Indonesia, Malaysia, and Pakistan. Upcoming diplomatic summits or ceasefire progress could alter trajectories.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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