Trump administration's aggressive use of equity investments under the Defense Production Act to secure domestic supply chains in defense, semiconductors, and AI has fueled trader consensus, with Lockheed Martin shares at 71¢, Palantir at 64¢, and Boeing at 58¢ reflecting expectations for stakes amid national security imperatives. Mid-March's $20 billion Army contract to Anduril boosted defense sector bets, while a March 26 proposal for a stake in a Tesla-linked graphite miner—critical for batteries—extended momentum into minerals, countering China dominance. Congressional Democrats' March 25 subpoenas on related funding add oversight risks, but FY2027 budget hearings loom as potential catalysts for announcements before the December 31, 2026 resolution. No stakes yet in listed firms heightens uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$57,030 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Anduril
24%
ボーイング
38%
TSMC
18%
OpenAI
26%
パランティア
25%
エヌビディア
11%
グローバルファウンドリーズ
22%
ロッキード・マーチン
44%
TikTok US / Bytedance
24%
フリーポート・マクモラン
27%
IonQ
32%
マイクロン
26%
D-Wave
31%
Anthropic
16%
Rigetti
6%
イーライリリー
27%
ファイザー
31%
サムスン電子
18%
$57,030 Vol.
Anduril
$38,881 Vol.
24%
ボーイング
$0 Vol.
38%
TSMC
$0 Vol.
18%
OpenAI
$0 Vol.
26%
パランティア
$186 Vol.
25%
エヌビディア
$8,635 Vol.
11%
グローバルファウンドリーズ
$586 Vol.
22%
ロッキード・マーチン
$0 Vol.
44%
TikTok US / Bytedance
$278 Vol.
24%
フリーポート・マクモラン
$0 Vol.
27%
IonQ
$0 Vol.
32%
マイクロン
$724 Vol.
26%
D-Wave
$0 Vol.
31%
Anthropic
$558 Vol.
16%
Rigetti
$0 Vol.
6%
イーライリリー
$0 Vol.
27%
ファイザー
$0 Vol.
31%
サムスン電子
$7,182 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.Trump administration's aggressive use of equity investments under the Defense Production Act to secure domestic supply chains in defense, semiconductors, and AI has fueled trader consensus, with Lockheed Martin shares at 71¢, Palantir at 64¢, and Boeing at 58¢ reflecting expectations for stakes amid national security imperatives. Mid-March's $20 billion Army contract to Anduril boosted defense sector bets, while a March 26 proposal for a stake in a Tesla-linked graphite miner—critical for batteries—extended momentum into minerals, countering China dominance. Congressional Democrats' March 25 subpoenas on related funding add oversight risks, but FY2027 budget hearings loom as potential catalysts for announcements before the December 31, 2026 resolution. No stakes yet in listed firms heightens uncertainty.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
音量
$57,030終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.Trump administration's aggressive use of equity investments under the Defense Production Act to secure domestic supply chains in defense, semiconductors, and AI has fueled trader consensus, with Lockheed Martin shares at 71¢, Palantir at 64¢, and Boeing at 58¢ reflecting expectations for stakes amid national security imperatives. Mid-March's $20 billion Army contract to Anduril boosted defense sector bets, while a March 26 proposal for a stake in a Tesla-linked graphite miner—critical for batteries—extended momentum into minerals, countering China dominance. Congressional Democrats' March 25 subpoenas on related funding add oversight risks, but FY2027 budget hearings loom as potential catalysts for announcements before the December 31, 2026 resolution. No stakes yet in listed firms heightens uncertainty.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$57,030終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump administration's aggressive use of equity investments under the Defense Production Act to secure domestic supply chains in defense, semiconductors, and AI has fueled trader consensus, with Lockheed Martin shares at 71¢, Palantir at 64¢, and Boeing at 58¢ reflecting expectations for stakes amid national security imperatives. Mid-March's $20 billion Army contract to Anduril boosted defense sector bets, while a March 26 proposal for a stake in a Tesla-linked graphite miner—critical for batteries—extended momentum into minerals, countering China dominance. Congressional Democrats' March 25 subpoenas on related funding add oversight risks, but FY2027 budget hearings loom as potential catalysts for announcements before the December 31, 2026 resolution. No stakes yet in listed firms heightens uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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