Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 79.5%, reflecting stalled US-mediated peace talks paused since mid-March amid Russia's spring offensive and distractions from the Iran conflict, as confirmed by Kremlin statements. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy reiterated readiness for direct dialogue in late March interviews, but Russian President Putin has ruled out talks with him, deeming his leadership illegitimate, echoing failed mediation efforts from Geneva in February to trilateral formats. Neutral sites like Turkey (2.4%) and the US (2.1%) lead alternatives due to prior indirect negotiations there, yet entrenched territorial disputes, ongoing military actions, and absence of scheduled summits sustain low probabilities across all locations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2027年以前に会談なし 80%
トルコ 2.4%
米国 2.1%
カタール / UAE 1.8%
$1,892,454 Vol.
$1,892,454 Vol.

2027年以前に会談なし
80%

トルコ
2%

米国
2%

カタール / UAE
2%

サウジアラビア
2%

ハンガリー
2%

ロシア
1%

スイス
1%

ベラルーシ
1%

中国
1%

インド
1%

イタリア/バチカン
1%

ウクライナ
1%

カザフスタン
1%
2027年以前に会談なし 80%
トルコ 2.4%
米国 2.1%
カタール / UAE 1.8%
$1,892,454 Vol.
$1,892,454 Vol.

2027年以前に会談なし
80%

トルコ
2%

米国
2%

カタール / UAE
2%

サウジアラビア
2%

ハンガリー
2%

ロシア
1%

スイス
1%

ベラルーシ
1%

中国
1%

インド
1%

イタリア/バチカン
1%

ウクライナ
1%

カザフスタン
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 79.5%, reflecting stalled US-mediated peace talks paused since mid-March amid Russia's spring offensive and distractions from the Iran conflict, as confirmed by Kremlin statements. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy reiterated readiness for direct dialogue in late March interviews, but Russian President Putin has ruled out talks with him, deeming his leadership illegitimate, echoing failed mediation efforts from Geneva in February to trilateral formats. Neutral sites like Turkey (2.4%) and the US (2.1%) lead alternatives due to prior indirect negotiations there, yet entrenched territorial disputes, ongoing military actions, and absence of scheduled summits sustain low probabilities across all locations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問