Amid escalating US-Israel-Iran hostilities that erupted with US precision strikes on Iranian command posts March 5 and Israeli attacks on nuclear facilities like Arak March 28, Iran has launched retaliatory missile and drone barrages, including a March 27 strike injuring 12 US troops at Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia and recent hits near Israeli nuclear sites. Tehran rejects US ceasefire demands as unrealistic, threatening further assaults on regional bases, energy infrastructure, Gulf desalination plants, and even global personnel at resorts. Diplomatic talks among regional powers convene Sunday in Pakistan, while US Marines reinforce positions, underscoring volatile escalation risks as the March 31 deadline looms.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$483,330 Vol.
ディモナ（シモン・ペレス ネゲヴ原子力研究センター）
1%
ブルジュ・ハリファ
1%
ガワール油田
3%
サファニヤ油田
2%
アブカイク石油処理施設
4%
アルズール製油所
6%
Leviathan Field
3%
Khurais Field
6%
ラス・タヌラ
3%
East–West Pipeline
3%
ハブシャン油田／処理コンプレックス
12%
Ras Laffan Industrial City
9%
$483,330 Vol.
ディモナ（シモン・ペレス ネゲヴ原子力研究センター）
$268,009 Vol.
1%
ブルジュ・ハリファ
$1,790 Vol.
1%
ガワール油田
$32,104 Vol.
3%
サファニヤ油田
$42,192 Vol.
2%
アブカイク石油処理施設
$42,126 Vol.
4%
アルズール製油所
$75,992 Vol.
6%
Leviathan Field
$1,361 Vol.
3%
Khurais Field
$5,007 Vol.
6%
ラス・タヌラ
$4,954 Vol.
3%
East–West Pipeline
$1,718 Vol.
3%
ハブシャン油田／処理コンプレックス
$2,179 Vol.
12%
Ras Laffan Industrial City
$5,918 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed city/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed pipeline/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.Amid escalating US-Israel-Iran hostilities that erupted with US precision strikes on Iranian command posts March 5 and Israeli attacks on nuclear facilities like Arak March 28, Iran has launched retaliatory missile and drone barrages, including a March 27 strike injuring 12 US troops at Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia and recent hits near Israeli nuclear sites. Tehran rejects US ceasefire demands as unrealistic, threatening further assaults on regional bases, energy infrastructure, Gulf desalination plants, and even global personnel at resorts. Diplomatic talks among regional powers convene Sunday in Pakistan, while US Marines reinforce positions, underscoring volatile escalation risks as the March 31 deadline looms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed pipeline/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
マーケット開始日： Mar 20, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
音量
$483,330マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed city/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed pipeline/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.Amid escalating US-Israel-Iran hostilities that erupted with US precision strikes on Iranian command posts March 5 and Israeli attacks on nuclear facilities like Arak March 28, Iran has launched retaliatory missile and drone barrages, including a March 27 strike injuring 12 US troops at Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia and recent hits near Israeli nuclear sites. Tehran rejects US ceasefire demands as unrealistic, threatening further assaults on regional bases, energy infrastructure, Gulf desalination plants, and even global personnel at resorts. Diplomatic talks among regional powers convene Sunday in Pakistan, while US Marines reinforce positions, underscoring volatile escalation risks as the March 31 deadline looms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed pipeline/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
音量
$483,330マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid escalating US-Israel-Iran hostilities that erupted with US precision strikes on Iranian command posts March 5 and Israeli attacks on nuclear facilities like Arak March 28, Iran has launched retaliatory missile and drone barrages, including a March 27 strike injuring 12 US troops at Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia and recent hits near Israeli nuclear sites. Tehran rejects US ceasefire demands as unrealistic, threatening further assaults on regional bases, energy infrastructure, Gulf desalination plants, and even global personnel at resorts. Diplomatic talks among regional powers convene Sunday in Pakistan, while US Marines reinforce positions, underscoring volatile escalation risks as the March 31 deadline looms.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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