Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott's enduring popularity as one of America's most popular governors—highlighted in a February 2026 poll—anchors trader consensus at 78.5% for a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting his landslide 2024 win and strong incumbency advantage in deep-blue Vermont. Democrats, controlling the legislature, have struggled to recruit prominent challengers, with economist Amanda Janoo announcing as the first candidate on March 10 amid reports of party concerns over a weak field nine months out. Absent Scott opting not to run—despite majority public support for another term in late 2025 polling—his path to re-election appears clear, with August primaries looming as the next catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
共和党
79%

民主党
22%

共和党
79%

民主党
22%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott's enduring popularity as one of America's most popular governors—highlighted in a February 2026 poll—anchors trader consensus at 78.5% for a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting his landslide 2024 win and strong incumbency advantage in deep-blue Vermont. Democrats, controlling the legislature, have struggled to recruit prominent challengers, with economist Amanda Janoo announcing as the first candidate on March 10 amid reports of party concerns over a weak field nine months out. Absent Scott opting not to run—despite majority public support for another term in late 2025 polling—his path to re-election appears clear, with August primaries looming as the next catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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