Incumbent Rep. Alma Adams secured the Democratic nomination in North Carolina's 12th Congressional District primary on March 3 with 79% of the vote, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Jack Codiga on November 3. The district's D+24 Cook Partisan Voter Index—ranking it among the nation's most Democratic—along with Adams' 74% victory in 2024 and consistent urban voter support in the Charlotte area, underpin trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats. Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball deem it Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting fundraising edges and historical incumbency advantages. Upsets remain possible via scandals, health issues for Adams, or a strong Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers loom large.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$16,533 Vol.
$16,533 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$16,533 Vol.
$16,533 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$9,222 Vol.
93%
共和党
$7,311 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Alma Adams secured the Democratic nomination in North Carolina's 12th Congressional District primary on March 3 with 79% of the vote, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Jack Codiga on November 3. The district's D+24 Cook Partisan Voter Index—ranking it among the nation's most Democratic—along with Adams' 74% victory in 2024 and consistent urban voter support in the Charlotte area, underpin trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats. Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball deem it Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting fundraising edges and historical incumbency advantages. Upsets remain possible via scandals, health issues for Adams, or a strong Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers loom large.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$16,533終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Alma Adams secured the Democratic nomination in North Carolina's 12th Congressional District primary on March 3 with 79% of the vote, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Jack Codiga on November 3. The district's D+24 Cook Partisan Voter Index—ranking it among the nation's most Democratic—along with Adams' 74% victory in 2024 and consistent urban voter support in the Charlotte area, underpin trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats. Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball deem it Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting fundraising edges and historical incumbency advantages. Upsets remain possible via scandals, health issues for Adams, or a strong Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers loom large.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$16,533終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Alma Adams secured the Democratic nomination in North Carolina's 12th Congressional District primary on March 3 with 79% of the vote, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Jack Codiga on November 3. The district's D+24 Cook Partisan Voter Index—ranking it among the nation's most Democratic—along with Adams' 74% victory in 2024 and consistent urban voter support in the Charlotte area, underpin trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats. Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball deem it Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting fundraising edges and historical incumbency advantages. Upsets remain possible via scandals, health issues for Adams, or a strong Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers loom large.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問