The Democratic Party holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in the NC-12 House race due to the district's entrenched partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 and Alma Adams' consistent reelection margins exceeding 70 points. As the longtime Democratic incumbent, Adams secured the nomination following the March 2026 primary and benefits from established name recognition, fundraising strength, and limited Republican opposition or polling activity. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national environment or late-cycle disruption capable of overcoming the district's structural margins, though such shifts remain possible in theory given the November 2026 general election timeline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,269 Vol.
$34,269 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$34,269 Vol.
$34,269 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$16,152 Vol.
95%
共和党
$18,117 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in the NC-12 House race due to the district's entrenched partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 and Alma Adams' consistent reelection margins exceeding 70 points. As the longtime Democratic incumbent, Adams secured the nomination following the March 2026 primary and benefits from established name recognition, fundraising strength, and limited Republican opposition or polling activity. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national environment or late-cycle disruption capable of overcoming the district's structural margins, though such shifts remain possible in theory given the November 2026 general election timeline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$34,269終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in the NC-12 House race due to the district's entrenched partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 and Alma Adams' consistent reelection margins exceeding 70 points. As the longtime Democratic incumbent, Adams secured the nomination following the March 2026 primary and benefits from established name recognition, fundraising strength, and limited Republican opposition or polling activity. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national environment or late-cycle disruption capable of overcoming the district's structural margins, though such shifts remain possible in theory given the November 2026 general election timeline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$34,269終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in the NC-12 House race due to the district's entrenched partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 and Alma Adams' consistent reelection margins exceeding 70 points. As the longtime Democratic incumbent, Adams secured the nomination following the March 2026 primary and benefits from established name recognition, fundraising strength, and limited Republican opposition or polling activity. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national environment or late-cycle disruption capable of overcoming the district's structural margins, though such shifts remain possible in theory given the November 2026 general election timeline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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