Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams secured her party's nomination with nearly 80 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Jack Codiga prevailed in his contest, setting up a November 3 general election in a district rated D+24 by nonpartisan analysts. The seat's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Adams' 74 percent share in 2024, underpins the 94.5 percent implied probability traders assign to a Democratic victory. The urban core around Charlotte and surrounding Mecklenburg County areas provide reliable partisan margins that have withstood prior map adjustments. A Democratic hold remains the baseline expectation absent major disruptions such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, health developments, or unusually large national swings in voter participation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,219 Vol.
$34,219 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$34,219 Vol.
$34,219 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$16,152 Vol.
95%
共和党
$18,067 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams secured her party's nomination with nearly 80 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Jack Codiga prevailed in his contest, setting up a November 3 general election in a district rated D+24 by nonpartisan analysts. The seat's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Adams' 74 percent share in 2024, underpins the 94.5 percent implied probability traders assign to a Democratic victory. The urban core around Charlotte and surrounding Mecklenburg County areas provide reliable partisan margins that have withstood prior map adjustments. A Democratic hold remains the baseline expectation absent major disruptions such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, health developments, or unusually large national swings in voter participation.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$34,219終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams secured her party's nomination with nearly 80 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Jack Codiga prevailed in his contest, setting up a November 3 general election in a district rated D+24 by nonpartisan analysts. The seat's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Adams' 74 percent share in 2024, underpins the 94.5 percent implied probability traders assign to a Democratic victory. The urban core around Charlotte and surrounding Mecklenburg County areas provide reliable partisan margins that have withstood prior map adjustments. A Democratic hold remains the baseline expectation absent major disruptions such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, health developments, or unusually large national swings in voter participation.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$34,219終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams secured her party's nomination with nearly 80 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Jack Codiga prevailed in his contest, setting up a November 3 general election in a district rated D+24 by nonpartisan analysts. The seat's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Adams' 74 percent share in 2024, underpins the 94.5 percent implied probability traders assign to a Democratic victory. The urban core around Charlotte and surrounding Mecklenburg County areas provide reliable partisan margins that have withstood prior map adjustments. A Democratic hold remains the baseline expectation absent major disruptions such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, health developments, or unusually large national swings in voter participation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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