Incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman (D) leads trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability to hold Virginia's 7th Congressional District, bolstered by a Cook Political rating of Solid Democratic and a partisan voting index of D+5 following mid-decade redistricting approved by voters on April 21. The map shift transformed this former battleground—previously won narrowly by Democrats in 2024—into a stronger Democratic lean, with Kamala Harris carrying 51% in the 2024 presidential vote. Vindman's $9.7 million in fundraising dwarfs GOP rivals like state Sen. Tara Durant, amid a crowded Republican primary ahead of the August 4 contests. No public polls exist, but incumbency and resources position Democrats firmly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
75%
共和党
27%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$204 Vol.
75%
共和党
$513 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman (D) leads trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability to hold Virginia's 7th Congressional District, bolstered by a Cook Political rating of Solid Democratic and a partisan voting index of D+5 following mid-decade redistricting approved by voters on April 21. The map shift transformed this former battleground—previously won narrowly by Democrats in 2024—into a stronger Democratic lean, with Kamala Harris carrying 51% in the 2024 presidential vote. Vindman's $9.7 million in fundraising dwarfs GOP rivals like state Sen. Tara Durant, amid a crowded Republican primary ahead of the August 4 contests. No public polls exist, but incumbency and resources position Democrats firmly.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
音量
$717終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman (D) leads trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability to hold Virginia's 7th Congressional District, bolstered by a Cook Political rating of Solid Democratic and a partisan voting index of D+5 following mid-decade redistricting approved by voters on April 21. The map shift transformed this former battleground—previously won narrowly by Democrats in 2024—into a stronger Democratic lean, with Kamala Harris carrying 51% in the 2024 presidential vote. Vindman's $9.7 million in fundraising dwarfs GOP rivals like state Sen. Tara Durant, amid a crowded Republican primary ahead of the August 4 contests. No public polls exist, but incumbency and resources position Democrats firmly.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$717終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman (D) leads trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability to hold Virginia's 7th Congressional District, bolstered by a Cook Political rating of Solid Democratic and a partisan voting index of D+5 following mid-decade redistricting approved by voters on April 21. The map shift transformed this former battleground—previously won narrowly by Democrats in 2024—into a stronger Democratic lean, with Kamala Harris carrying 51% in the 2024 presidential vote. Vindman's $9.7 million in fundraising dwarfs GOP rivals like state Sen. Tara Durant, amid a crowded Republican primary ahead of the August 4 contests. No public polls exist, but incumbency and resources position Democrats firmly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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