Incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman (D) holds a strong position in Virginia's 7th Congressional District following mid-decade redistricting approved by voters on April 21, 2026, which shifted the district leftward into Solid Democratic territory per the Cook Political Report's May 8 rating. This structural change, despite ongoing legal challenges to the new maps, underpins trader consensus implying a 77.5% probability of a Democratic general election winner on November 3, amid the August 4 primaries. Vindman faces a competitive Democratic primary with challengers like former Pence adviser Olivia Troye and Dorothy McAuliffe, while Republicans including Doug Ollivant are lining up but contend with the district's updated partisan lean and filing deadline on May 26. Absent major shifts in national midterm dynamics or candidate developments, the race favors Democratic retention.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
80%
共和党
27%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$204 Vol.
80%
共和党
$513 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman (D) holds a strong position in Virginia's 7th Congressional District following mid-decade redistricting approved by voters on April 21, 2026, which shifted the district leftward into Solid Democratic territory per the Cook Political Report's May 8 rating. This structural change, despite ongoing legal challenges to the new maps, underpins trader consensus implying a 77.5% probability of a Democratic general election winner on November 3, amid the August 4 primaries. Vindman faces a competitive Democratic primary with challengers like former Pence adviser Olivia Troye and Dorothy McAuliffe, while Republicans including Doug Ollivant are lining up but contend with the district's updated partisan lean and filing deadline on May 26. Absent major shifts in national midterm dynamics or candidate developments, the race favors Democratic retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
音量
$717終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman (D) holds a strong position in Virginia's 7th Congressional District following mid-decade redistricting approved by voters on April 21, 2026, which shifted the district leftward into Solid Democratic territory per the Cook Political Report's May 8 rating. This structural change, despite ongoing legal challenges to the new maps, underpins trader consensus implying a 77.5% probability of a Democratic general election winner on November 3, amid the August 4 primaries. Vindman faces a competitive Democratic primary with challengers like former Pence adviser Olivia Troye and Dorothy McAuliffe, while Republicans including Doug Ollivant are lining up but contend with the district's updated partisan lean and filing deadline on May 26. Absent major shifts in national midterm dynamics or candidate developments, the race favors Democratic retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$717終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman (D) holds a strong position in Virginia's 7th Congressional District following mid-decade redistricting approved by voters on April 21, 2026, which shifted the district leftward into Solid Democratic territory per the Cook Political Report's May 8 rating. This structural change, despite ongoing legal challenges to the new maps, underpins trader consensus implying a 77.5% probability of a Democratic general election winner on November 3, amid the August 4 primaries. Vindman faces a competitive Democratic primary with challengers like former Pence adviser Olivia Troye and Dorothy McAuliffe, while Republicans including Doug Ollivant are lining up but contend with the district's updated partisan lean and filing deadline on May 26. Absent major shifts in national midterm dynamics or candidate developments, the race favors Democratic retention.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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