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政治·プライマリ

UT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者

Market icon
政治·プライマリ

UT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者

ベン・マカダムズ 47%

Nate Blouin 47%

キャスリーン・リーベ 5.9%

ジェニー・ウィルソン 1.0%

Polymarket

$10,881 Vol.

ベン・マカダムズ 47%

Nate Blouin 47%

キャスリーン・リーベ 5.9%

ジェニー・ウィルソン 1.0%

Polymarket

$10,881 Vol.

ベン・マカダムズ

$5,486 Vol.

47%

Nate Blouin

$1,908 Vol.

47%

キャスリーン・リーベ

$0 Vol.

6%

ジェニー・ウィルソン

$0 Vol.

1%

ブライアン・キング

$0 Vol.

1%

ルス・エスカミーリャ

$0 Vol.

1%

エリン・メンデンホール

$3,486 Vol.

1%

キャロライン・グライヒ

$0 Vol.

<1%

ケール・ウェストン

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Utah's newly redrawn, Democratic-leaning 1st Congressional District, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin Democratic primary contest between former Rep. Ben McAdams at 47% implied probability and state Sen. Nate Blouin at 46.5%, driven by an ideological split between McAdams's centrist record and Blouin's progressive profile amid the June 23 primary. Recent town halls on March 10-12 highlighted shared left-leaning stances on taxing the wealthy, abolishing ICE, and criticizing Israel, yet Blouin's March 24 MSNBC appearance with Rachel Maddow—attacking McAdams over private prison ties and a new DHS facility—intensified progressive turnout signals and kept odds deadlocked. Separation could emerge from major endorsements, fundraising reports, or internal polls targeting Salt Lake County voters, with historical primaries favoring name recognition in low-turnout races.

In Utah's newly redrawn, Democratic-leaning 1st Congressional District, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin Democratic primary contest between former Rep. Ben McAdams at 47% implied probability and state Sen. Nate Blouin at 46.5%, driven by an ideological split between McAdams's centrist record and Blouin's progressive profile amid the June 23 primary. Recent town halls on March 10-12 highlighted shared left-leaning stances on taxing the wealthy, abolishing ICE, and criticizing Israel, yet Blouin's March 24 MSNBC appearance with Rachel Maddow—attacking McAdams over private prison ties and a new DHS facility—intensified progressive turnout signals and kept odds deadlocked. Separation could emerge from major endorsements, fundraising reports, or internal polls targeting Salt Lake County voters, with historical primaries favoring name recognition in low-turnout races.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Utah's newly redrawn, Democratic-leaning 1st Congressional District, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin Democratic primary contest between former Rep. Ben McAdams at 47% implied probability and state Sen. Nate Blouin at 46.5%, driven by an ideological split between McAdams's centrist record and Blouin's progressive profile amid the June 23 primary. Recent town halls on March 10-12 highlighted shared left-leaning stances on taxing the wealthy, abolishing ICE, and criticizing Israel, yet Blouin's March 24 MSNBC appearance with Rachel Maddow—attacking McAdams over private prison ties and a new DHS facility—intensified progressive turnout signals and kept odds deadlocked. Separation could emerge from major endorsements, fundraising reports, or internal polls targeting Salt Lake County voters, with historical primaries favoring name recognition in low-turnout races.

In Utah's newly redrawn, Democratic-leaning 1st Congressional District, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin Democratic primary contest between former Rep. Ben McAdams at 47% implied probability and state Sen. Nate Blouin at 46.5%, driven by an ideological split between McAdams's centrist record and Blouin's progressive profile amid the June 23 primary. Recent town halls on March 10-12 highlighted shared left-leaning stances on taxing the wealthy, abolishing ICE, and criticizing Israel, yet Blouin's March 24 MSNBC appearance with Rachel Maddow—attacking McAdams over private prison ties and a new DHS facility—intensified progressive turnout signals and kept odds deadlocked. Separation could emerge from major endorsements, fundraising reports, or internal polls targeting Salt Lake County voters, with historical primaries favoring name recognition in low-turnout races.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「UT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ベン・マカダムズ」で47%、次いで「Nate Blouin」が47%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、47¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に47%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「UT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」は$10.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 25, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「UT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「UT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ベン・マカダムズ」で47%であり、市場がこの結果に47%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Nate Blouin」で47%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「UT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。