President Trump's March 28 statement at a Saudi investment conference, declaring "Cuba's next" as a target for US military action, has intensified trader focus amid the island's severe energy crisis and blackouts worsened by ongoing US oil blockades and sanctions. Cuba's deputy foreign minister responded on March 22 by confirming military preparations for potential aggression, while a top US general clarified on March 19 that no invasion rehearsals or takeover plans are underway. These rhetorical escalations, lacking verifiable operational signals like troop deployments or airstrikes, drive market positioning, with traders monitoring White House foreign policy announcements, congressional sanction votes, and diplomatic channels for de-escalation or further pressure that could shift probabilities before year-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$2,786,274 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3月31日
1%
12月31日
38%
$2,786,274 Vol.
3月31日
$1,481,196 Vol.
1%
12月31日
$770,601 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.President Trump's March 28 statement at a Saudi investment conference, declaring "Cuba's next" as a target for US military action, has intensified trader focus amid the island's severe energy crisis and blackouts worsened by ongoing US oil blockades and sanctions. Cuba's deputy foreign minister responded on March 22 by confirming military preparations for potential aggression, while a top US general clarified on March 19 that no invasion rehearsals or takeover plans are underway. These rhetorical escalations, lacking verifiable operational signals like troop deployments or airstrikes, drive market positioning, with traders monitoring White House foreign policy announcements, congressional sanction votes, and diplomatic channels for de-escalation or further pressure that could shift probabilities before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
マーケット開始日： Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
音量
$2,786,274終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.President Trump's March 28 statement at a Saudi investment conference, declaring "Cuba's next" as a target for US military action, has intensified trader focus amid the island's severe energy crisis and blackouts worsened by ongoing US oil blockades and sanctions. Cuba's deputy foreign minister responded on March 22 by confirming military preparations for potential aggression, while a top US general clarified on March 19 that no invasion rehearsals or takeover plans are underway. These rhetorical escalations, lacking verifiable operational signals like troop deployments or airstrikes, drive market positioning, with traders monitoring White House foreign policy announcements, congressional sanction votes, and diplomatic channels for de-escalation or further pressure that could shift probabilities before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
音量
$2,786,274終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's March 28 statement at a Saudi investment conference, declaring "Cuba's next" as a target for US military action, has intensified trader focus amid the island's severe energy crisis and blackouts worsened by ongoing US oil blockades and sanctions. Cuba's deputy foreign minister responded on March 22 by confirming military preparations for potential aggression, while a top US general clarified on March 19 that no invasion rehearsals or takeover plans are underway. These rhetorical escalations, lacking verifiable operational signals like troop deployments or airstrikes, drive market positioning, with traders monitoring White House foreign policy announcements, congressional sanction votes, and diplomatic channels for de-escalation or further pressure that could shift probabilities before year-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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