Amid escalating drone warfare, Russian defenses intercepted 155 Ukrainian drones overnight into March 28, with one strike killing a child and injuring three in Yaroslavl region northeast of Moscow, marking continued deep incursions but no confirmed damage inside Moscow proper. This follows Russia's claim of foiling Ukraine's largest drone swarm on Moscow in a year on March 16, involving over 250 aircraft downed during four consecutive days of attacks. Traders weigh Ukraine's advancing long-range drone capabilities against Moscow's bolstered air defenses, amid reciprocal massive Russian drone barrages on Ukraine—including nearly 1,000 launched March 24—that signal a potential spring offensive. Upcoming US-Ukraine talks and battlefield shifts could influence further escalation or restraint.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$136,833 Vol.
Apr 15, 2026
3月31日
3%
4月15日
11%
4月30日
18%
$136,833 Vol.
3月31日
$20,686 Vol.
3%
4月15日
$76 Vol.
11%
4月30日
$0 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Amid escalating drone warfare, Russian defenses intercepted 155 Ukrainian drones overnight into March 28, with one strike killing a child and injuring three in Yaroslavl region northeast of Moscow, marking continued deep incursions but no confirmed damage inside Moscow proper. This follows Russia's claim of foiling Ukraine's largest drone swarm on Moscow in a year on March 16, involving over 250 aircraft downed during four consecutive days of attacks. Traders weigh Ukraine's advancing long-range drone capabilities against Moscow's bolstered air defenses, amid reciprocal massive Russian drone barrages on Ukraine—including nearly 1,000 launched March 24—that signal a potential spring offensive. Upcoming US-Ukraine talks and battlefield shifts could influence further escalation or restraint.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
マーケット開始日： Mar 24, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$136,833終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Amid escalating drone warfare, Russian defenses intercepted 155 Ukrainian drones overnight into March 28, with one strike killing a child and injuring three in Yaroslavl region northeast of Moscow, marking continued deep incursions but no confirmed damage inside Moscow proper. This follows Russia's claim of foiling Ukraine's largest drone swarm on Moscow in a year on March 16, involving over 250 aircraft downed during four consecutive days of attacks. Traders weigh Ukraine's advancing long-range drone capabilities against Moscow's bolstered air defenses, amid reciprocal massive Russian drone barrages on Ukraine—including nearly 1,000 launched March 24—that signal a potential spring offensive. Upcoming US-Ukraine talks and battlefield shifts could influence further escalation or restraint.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
音量
$136,833終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid escalating drone warfare, Russian defenses intercepted 155 Ukrainian drones overnight into March 28, with one strike killing a child and injuring three in Yaroslavl region northeast of Moscow, marking continued deep incursions but no confirmed damage inside Moscow proper. This follows Russia's claim of foiling Ukraine's largest drone swarm on Moscow in a year on March 16, involving over 250 aircraft downed during four consecutive days of attacks. Traders weigh Ukraine's advancing long-range drone capabilities against Moscow's bolstered air defenses, amid reciprocal massive Russian drone barrages on Ukraine—including nearly 1,000 launched March 24—that signal a potential spring offensive. Upcoming US-Ukraine talks and battlefield shifts could influence further escalation or restraint.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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