The pronounced Democratic lean of Texas's 37th congressional district, centered in Austin and rated Solid D with a partisan voting index around D+30, underpins the market's strong consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 90 percent. Incumbent Representative Greg Casar secured the Democratic primary with more than 80 percent of the vote in March, while Republicans advance to a May 26 runoff between Ge'Nell Gary and Lauren Peña ahead of the November general election. Historical voting patterns and the district's urban composition further anchor expectations for continued Democratic control. Late-breaking national shifts, major scandals, or unusually high turnout swings could still narrow the margin in the months ahead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$2,667 Vol.
92%
共和党
$382 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The pronounced Democratic lean of Texas's 37th congressional district, centered in Austin and rated Solid D with a partisan voting index around D+30, underpins the market's strong consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 90 percent. Incumbent Representative Greg Casar secured the Democratic primary with more than 80 percent of the vote in March, while Republicans advance to a May 26 runoff between Ge'Nell Gary and Lauren Peña ahead of the November general election. Historical voting patterns and the district's urban composition further anchor expectations for continued Democratic control. Late-breaking national shifts, major scandals, or unusually high turnout swings could still narrow the margin in the months ahead.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$3,049終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The pronounced Democratic lean of Texas's 37th congressional district, centered in Austin and rated Solid D with a partisan voting index around D+30, underpins the market's strong consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 90 percent. Incumbent Representative Greg Casar secured the Democratic primary with more than 80 percent of the vote in March, while Republicans advance to a May 26 runoff between Ge'Nell Gary and Lauren Peña ahead of the November general election. Historical voting patterns and the district's urban composition further anchor expectations for continued Democratic control. Late-breaking national shifts, major scandals, or unusually high turnout swings could still narrow the margin in the months ahead.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,049終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The pronounced Democratic lean of Texas's 37th congressional district, centered in Austin and rated Solid D with a partisan voting index around D+30, underpins the market's strong consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 90 percent. Incumbent Representative Greg Casar secured the Democratic primary with more than 80 percent of the vote in March, while Republicans advance to a May 26 runoff between Ge'Nell Gary and Lauren Peña ahead of the November general election. Historical voting patterns and the district's urban composition further anchor expectations for continued Democratic control. Late-breaking national shifts, major scandals, or unusually high turnout swings could still narrow the margin in the months ahead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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