Redistricting in 2025 redrew Texas's 32nd Congressional District into a Republican-leaning seat with an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index, shifting it from a Democratic stronghold to the safest GOP target among five flipped districts. Jace Yarbrough secured the Republican nomination after leading the March 3 primary at 49% and his runoff opponent withdrawing on March 17, consolidating party support amid high GOP turnout in the crowded field. Democrat Dan Barrios won his primary 60%-40% in early April, but traders reflect the structural GOP edge in implied probabilities, pricing Republicans at 79% for the November 3 general election amid an open race with no incumbent advantage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,804 Vol.
$24,804 Vol.
2026/11/04
共和党
81%
民主党
17%
$24,804 Vol.
$24,804 Vol.
2026/11/04
共和党
$24,804 Vol.
81%
民主党
$0 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in 2025 redrew Texas's 32nd Congressional District into a Republican-leaning seat with an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index, shifting it from a Democratic stronghold to the safest GOP target among five flipped districts. Jace Yarbrough secured the Republican nomination after leading the March 3 primary at 49% and his runoff opponent withdrawing on March 17, consolidating party support amid high GOP turnout in the crowded field. Democrat Dan Barrios won his primary 60%-40% in early April, but traders reflect the structural GOP edge in implied probabilities, pricing Republicans at 79% for the November 3 general election amid an open race with no incumbent advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
音量
$24,804終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in 2025 redrew Texas's 32nd Congressional District into a Republican-leaning seat with an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index, shifting it from a Democratic stronghold to the safest GOP target among five flipped districts. Jace Yarbrough secured the Republican nomination after leading the March 3 primary at 49% and his runoff opponent withdrawing on March 17, consolidating party support amid high GOP turnout in the crowded field. Democrat Dan Barrios won his primary 60%-40% in early April, but traders reflect the structural GOP edge in implied probabilities, pricing Republicans at 79% for the November 3 general election amid an open race with no incumbent advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,804終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting in 2025 redrew Texas's 32nd Congressional District into a Republican-leaning seat with an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index, shifting it from a Democratic stronghold to the safest GOP target among five flipped districts. Jace Yarbrough secured the Republican nomination after leading the March 3 primary at 49% and his runoff opponent withdrawing on March 17, consolidating party support amid high GOP turnout in the crowded field. Democrat Dan Barrios won his primary 60%-40% in early April, but traders reflect the structural GOP edge in implied probabilities, pricing Republicans at 79% for the November 3 general election amid an open race with no incumbent advantage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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