Texas' 32nd Congressional District underwent mid-decade redistricting in August 2025, transforming the previously Democratic-held open seat into a Solid Republican rating per Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, with new boundaries favoring GOP fundamentals in suburban North Dallas County. Trader consensus at 77% for Republicans reflects attorney Jace Yarbrough's unchallenged nomination after leading the March 3 primary at 49% and Ryan Binkley's withdrawal on March 17, canceling the May 26 runoff; his Trump endorsement and recent CPAC backing bolster his position against Democratic nominee Dan Barrios, who won his primary 60%-40% but faces an uphill battle absent public polls. The November 3 general remains six months away, leaving room for national midterm trends to influence the closely watched race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,845 Vol.
$25,845 Vol.
2026/11/04
共和党
77%
民主党
22%
$25,845 Vol.
$25,845 Vol.
2026/11/04
共和党
$25,575 Vol.
77%
民主党
$270 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 32nd Congressional District underwent mid-decade redistricting in August 2025, transforming the previously Democratic-held open seat into a Solid Republican rating per Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, with new boundaries favoring GOP fundamentals in suburban North Dallas County. Trader consensus at 77% for Republicans reflects attorney Jace Yarbrough's unchallenged nomination after leading the March 3 primary at 49% and Ryan Binkley's withdrawal on March 17, canceling the May 26 runoff; his Trump endorsement and recent CPAC backing bolster his position against Democratic nominee Dan Barrios, who won his primary 60%-40% but faces an uphill battle absent public polls. The November 3 general remains six months away, leaving room for national midterm trends to influence the closely watched race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
音量
$25,845終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 32nd Congressional District underwent mid-decade redistricting in August 2025, transforming the previously Democratic-held open seat into a Solid Republican rating per Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, with new boundaries favoring GOP fundamentals in suburban North Dallas County. Trader consensus at 77% for Republicans reflects attorney Jace Yarbrough's unchallenged nomination after leading the March 3 primary at 49% and Ryan Binkley's withdrawal on March 17, canceling the May 26 runoff; his Trump endorsement and recent CPAC backing bolster his position against Democratic nominee Dan Barrios, who won his primary 60%-40% but faces an uphill battle absent public polls. The November 3 general remains six months away, leaving room for national midterm trends to influence the closely watched race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$25,845終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas' 32nd Congressional District underwent mid-decade redistricting in August 2025, transforming the previously Democratic-held open seat into a Solid Republican rating per Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, with new boundaries favoring GOP fundamentals in suburban North Dallas County. Trader consensus at 77% for Republicans reflects attorney Jace Yarbrough's unchallenged nomination after leading the March 3 primary at 49% and Ryan Binkley's withdrawal on March 17, canceling the May 26 runoff; his Trump endorsement and recent CPAC backing bolster his position against Democratic nominee Dan Barrios, who won his primary 60%-40% but faces an uphill battle absent public polls. The November 3 general remains six months away, leaving room for national midterm trends to influence the closely watched race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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