Texas Republicans hold a clear edge in the TX-32 House race following 2025 redistricting that shifted the district’s boundaries to incorporate more conservative North Texas suburbs, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 and a Solid Republican rating from forecasters. The March 2026 primaries yielded Democrat Dan Barrios as the nominee while Republicans advanced Jace Yarbrough and Ryan Binkley to a likely May runoff, with the eventual GOP standard-bearer expected to benefit from strong turnout among suburban and rural voters. Traders price this Republican consensus at 64 percent because historical midterm patterns and the district’s updated electoral math favor the party holding the Texas legislature, though a national Democratic surge or weak nominee could still narrow the gap before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,076 Vol.
$26,076 Vol.
2026/11/04
共和党
74%
民主党
23%
$26,076 Vol.
$26,076 Vol.
2026/11/04
共和党
$25,719 Vol.
74%
民主党
$357 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas Republicans hold a clear edge in the TX-32 House race following 2025 redistricting that shifted the district’s boundaries to incorporate more conservative North Texas suburbs, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 and a Solid Republican rating from forecasters. The March 2026 primaries yielded Democrat Dan Barrios as the nominee while Republicans advanced Jace Yarbrough and Ryan Binkley to a likely May runoff, with the eventual GOP standard-bearer expected to benefit from strong turnout among suburban and rural voters. Traders price this Republican consensus at 64 percent because historical midterm patterns and the district’s updated electoral math favor the party holding the Texas legislature, though a national Democratic surge or weak nominee could still narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
音量
$26,076終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas Republicans hold a clear edge in the TX-32 House race following 2025 redistricting that shifted the district’s boundaries to incorporate more conservative North Texas suburbs, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 and a Solid Republican rating from forecasters. The March 2026 primaries yielded Democrat Dan Barrios as the nominee while Republicans advanced Jace Yarbrough and Ryan Binkley to a likely May runoff, with the eventual GOP standard-bearer expected to benefit from strong turnout among suburban and rural voters. Traders price this Republican consensus at 64 percent because historical midterm patterns and the district’s updated electoral math favor the party holding the Texas legislature, though a national Democratic surge or weak nominee could still narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,076終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas Republicans hold a clear edge in the TX-32 House race following 2025 redistricting that shifted the district’s boundaries to incorporate more conservative North Texas suburbs, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 and a Solid Republican rating from forecasters. The March 2026 primaries yielded Democrat Dan Barrios as the nominee while Republicans advanced Jace Yarbrough and Ryan Binkley to a likely May runoff, with the eventual GOP standard-bearer expected to benefit from strong turnout among suburban and rural voters. Traders price this Republican consensus at 64 percent because historical midterm patterns and the district’s updated electoral math favor the party holding the Texas legislature, though a national Democratic surge or weak nominee could still narrow the gap before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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