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政治·プライマリ

TX -30共和党予備選

Market icon
政治·プライマリ

TX -30共和党予備選

エベレット・ジャクソン 77.4%

ショルドン・ダニエルズ 14%

グレゴール・ハイゼ 3.7%

ニルス・ウォーカー 2.5%

Polymarket

$22,338 Vol.

エベレット・ジャクソン 77.4%

ショルドン・ダニエルズ 14%

グレゴール・ハイゼ 3.7%

ニルス・ウォーカー 2.5%

Polymarket

$22,338 Vol.

エベレット・ジャクソン

$2,269 Vol.

83%

ショルドン・ダニエルズ

$8,845 Vol.

14%

グレゴール・ハイゼ

$10,111 Vol.

4%

ニルス・ウォーカー

$1,113 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Everett Jackson's commanding 38% in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 30th Congressional District propelled him to an 82.8% implied probability as the trader-favored nominee, outpacing Sholdon Daniels' 24.3% amid low-turnout voting across Dallas and Tarrant counties. No candidate reached a majority among the four contenders, triggering a May 26 runoff between Jackson and Daniels, with eliminated candidates Gregorio Heise (19.4%) and Nils Walker (18.2%) retaining minor market support at 4.2% and 2.0%. Despite Daniels' superior pre-primary fundraising ($354K vs. Jackson's $15K), Jackson's grassroots momentum and first-round edge reflect trader consensus on his path to victory in the deeply Democratic (D+25) open-seat race. Recent campaign attacks from Daniels underscore intensifying runoff dynamics ahead of early voting in May.

Everett Jackson's commanding 38% in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 30th Congressional District propelled him to an 82.8% implied probability as the trader-favored nominee, outpacing Sholdon Daniels' 24.3% amid low-turnout voting across Dallas and Tarrant counties. No candidate reached a majority among the four contenders, triggering a May 26 runoff between Jackson and Daniels, with eliminated candidates Gregorio Heise (19.4%) and Nils Walker (18.2%) retaining minor market support at 4.2% and 2.0%. Despite Daniels' superior pre-primary fundraising ($354K vs. Jackson's $15K), Jackson's grassroots momentum and first-round edge reflect trader consensus on his path to victory in the deeply Democratic (D+25) open-seat race. Recent campaign attacks from Daniels underscore intensifying runoff dynamics ahead of early voting in May.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Everett Jackson's commanding 38% in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 30th Congressional District propelled him to an 82.8% implied probability as the trader-favored nominee, outpacing Sholdon Daniels' 24.3% amid low-turnout voting across Dallas and Tarrant counties. No candidate reached a majority among the four contenders, triggering a May 26 runoff between Jackson and Daniels, with eliminated candidates Gregorio Heise (19.4%) and Nils Walker (18.2%) retaining minor market support at 4.2% and 2.0%. Despite Daniels' superior pre-primary fundraising ($354K vs. Jackson's $15K), Jackson's grassroots momentum and first-round edge reflect trader consensus on his path to victory in the deeply Democratic (D+25) open-seat race. Recent campaign attacks from Daniels underscore intensifying runoff dynamics ahead of early voting in May.

Everett Jackson's commanding 38% in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 30th Congressional District propelled him to an 82.8% implied probability as the trader-favored nominee, outpacing Sholdon Daniels' 24.3% amid low-turnout voting across Dallas and Tarrant counties. No candidate reached a majority among the four contenders, triggering a May 26 runoff between Jackson and Daniels, with eliminated candidates Gregorio Heise (19.4%) and Nils Walker (18.2%) retaining minor market support at 4.2% and 2.0%. Despite Daniels' superior pre-primary fundraising ($354K vs. Jackson's $15K), Jackson's grassroots momentum and first-round edge reflect trader consensus on his path to victory in the deeply Democratic (D+25) open-seat race. Recent campaign attacks from Daniels underscore intensifying runoff dynamics ahead of early voting in May.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「TX -30共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「エベレット・ジャクソン」で83%、次いで「ショルドン・ダニエルズ」が14%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、83¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に83%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「TX -30共和党予備選」は$22.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 18, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「TX -30共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「TX -30共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「エベレット・ジャクソン」で83%であり、市場がこの結果に83%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ショルドン・ダニエルズ」で14%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「TX -30共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。