**Trader consensus prices a 90% implied probability that Félix Tshisekedi will remain president of the Democratic Republic of the Congo through December 31, 2026, reflecting his secure position midway through a second five-year term ending with 2028 presidential elections on December 16.** No verified developments—such as coup attempts, impeachment proceedings, resignation announcements, or no-confidence votes—have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge his leadership, despite persistent eastern instability from M23 rebel advances. Recent diplomacy bolsters stability perceptions: Tshisekedi's April 2, 2026, Doha visit with Qatar's emir addressed regional crises, following February U.S. talks yielding a Washington Accord ceasefire and March creation of an economic crimes court. Absent late-breaking scandals or health events, structural term limits and lack of scheduled votes sustain the strong "No" positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Tshisekediは2026年12月31日までにコンゴ民主共和国の大統領に就任しますか？
Tshisekediは2026年12月31日までにコンゴ民主共和国の大統領に就任しますか？
はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus prices a 90% implied probability that Félix Tshisekedi will remain president of the Democratic Republic of the Congo through December 31, 2026, reflecting his secure position midway through a second five-year term ending with 2028 presidential elections on December 16.** No verified developments—such as coup attempts, impeachment proceedings, resignation announcements, or no-confidence votes—have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge his leadership, despite persistent eastern instability from M23 rebel advances. Recent diplomacy bolsters stability perceptions: Tshisekedi's April 2, 2026, Doha visit with Qatar's emir addressed regional crises, following February U.S. talks yielding a Washington Accord ceasefire and March creation of an economic crimes court. Absent late-breaking scandals or health events, structural term limits and lack of scheduled votes sustain the strong "No" positioning.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 12, 2025, 4:21 PM ET
音量
$9,135終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 12, 2025, 4:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus prices a 90% implied probability that Félix Tshisekedi will remain president of the Democratic Republic of the Congo through December 31, 2026, reflecting his secure position midway through a second five-year term ending with 2028 presidential elections on December 16.** No verified developments—such as coup attempts, impeachment proceedings, resignation announcements, or no-confidence votes—have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge his leadership, despite persistent eastern instability from M23 rebel advances. Recent diplomacy bolsters stability perceptions: Tshisekedi's April 2, 2026, Doha visit with Qatar's emir addressed regional crises, following February U.S. talks yielding a Washington Accord ceasefire and March creation of an economic crimes court. Absent late-breaking scandals or health events, structural term limits and lack of scheduled votes sustain the strong "No" positioning.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$9,135終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 12, 2025, 4:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus prices a 90% implied probability that Félix Tshisekedi will remain president of the Democratic Republic of the Congo through December 31, 2026, reflecting his secure position midway through a second five-year term ending with 2028 presidential elections on December 16.** No verified developments—such as coup attempts, impeachment proceedings, resignation announcements, or no-confidence votes—have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge his leadership, despite persistent eastern instability from M23 rebel advances. Recent diplomacy bolsters stability perceptions: Tshisekedi's April 2, 2026, Doha visit with Qatar's emir addressed regional crises, following February U.S. talks yielding a Washington Accord ceasefire and March creation of an economic crimes court. Absent late-breaking scandals or health events, structural term limits and lack of scheduled votes sustain the strong "No" positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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