No prison time 100.0%
12-23 months <1%
36-47 months <1%
1-11 months <1%
$10,118,204 Vol.
$10,118,204 Vol.
Jul 11, 2024
No prison time
$1,514,093 Vol.
Yes
1-11 months
$1,025,535 Vol.
No
12-23 months
$3,461,448 Vol.
No
24-35 months
$2,663,690 Vol.
No
36-47 months
$768,705 Vol.
No
48+ months
$684,733 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is not sentenced to spend any time in custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is not sentenced to spend any time in custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
作成日: May 31, 2024, 12:57 PM ET
音量
$10,118,204終了日
Nov 5, 2024作成日時
May 31, 2024, 12:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
No prison time 100.0%
12-23 months <1%
36-47 months <1%
1-11 months <1%
$10,118,204 Vol.
$10,118,204 Vol.
Jul 11, 2024
No prison time
$1,514,093 Vol.
Yes
1-11 months
$1,025,535 Vol.
No
12-23 months
$3,461,448 Vol.
No
24-35 months
$2,663,690 Vol.
No
36-47 months
$768,705 Vol.
No
48+ months
$684,733 Vol.
No
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
Frequently Asked Questions
"Trump prison time in NY case before election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No prison time" at 100%, followed by "1-11 months" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Trump prison time in NY case before election?" has generated $10.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 31, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Trump prison time in NY case before election?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "Trump prison time in NY case before election?" is "No prison time" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1-11 months" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "Trump prison time in NY case before election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
Frequently Asked Questions