$89,444 Vol.
$89,444 Vol.
2025/09/30
$89,444 Vol.
$89,444 Vol.
2025/09/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Poland initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Russian soil or any official Russian embassy or consulate between September 9, 9 PM ET and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Polish military forces that impact Russian ground territory or any official Russian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Russian soil is hit by a Polish missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Russian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Polish ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Poland initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Russian soil or any official Russian embassy or consulate between September 9, 9 PM ET and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Polish military forces that impact Russian ground territory or any official Russian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Russian soil is hit by a Polish missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Russian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Polish ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Polish military forces that impact Russian ground territory or any official Russian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Russian soil is hit by a Polish missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Russian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Polish ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2025, 7:49 PM ET
音量
$89,444終了日
2025/09/30マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2025, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Poland initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Russian soil or any official Russian embassy or consulate between September 9, 9 PM ET and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Polish military forces that impact Russian ground territory or any official Russian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Russian soil is hit by a Polish missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Russian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Polish ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Poland initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Russian soil or any official Russian embassy or consulate between September 9, 9 PM ET and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Polish military forces that impact Russian ground territory or any official Russian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Russian soil is hit by a Polish missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Russian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Polish ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Polish military forces that impact Russian ground territory or any official Russian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Russian soil is hit by a Polish missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Russian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Polish ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$89,444終了日
2025/09/30マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2025, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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