Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro's sustained high approval ratings above 55% and successful first-term record on budget surpluses, infrastructure, and disaster response have solidified trader consensus at 94% for a Democratic win in Pennsylvania's 2026 gubernatorial election. Recent polling averages show Shapiro leading hypothetical Republican matchups by 15-20 points, amid a weak GOP field lacking a clear frontrunner following the 2024 cycle. No major developments in the past week have altered this dynamic, with primary filing deadlines still distant. Scenarios that could challenge this include a star Republican recruit like a U.S. Senator, a Shapiro scandal, or national economic shifts favoring GOP messaging on taxes and crime.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$13,685 Vol.
$13,685 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$13,685 Vol.
$13,685 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$4,897 Vol.
94%
共和党
$8,789 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro's sustained high approval ratings above 55% and successful first-term record on budget surpluses, infrastructure, and disaster response have solidified trader consensus at 94% for a Democratic win in Pennsylvania's 2026 gubernatorial election. Recent polling averages show Shapiro leading hypothetical Republican matchups by 15-20 points, amid a weak GOP field lacking a clear frontrunner following the 2024 cycle. No major developments in the past week have altered this dynamic, with primary filing deadlines still distant. Scenarios that could challenge this include a star Republican recruit like a U.S. Senator, a Shapiro scandal, or national economic shifts favoring GOP messaging on taxes and crime.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
音量
$13,685終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro's sustained high approval ratings above 55% and successful first-term record on budget surpluses, infrastructure, and disaster response have solidified trader consensus at 94% for a Democratic win in Pennsylvania's 2026 gubernatorial election. Recent polling averages show Shapiro leading hypothetical Republican matchups by 15-20 points, amid a weak GOP field lacking a clear frontrunner following the 2024 cycle. No major developments in the past week have altered this dynamic, with primary filing deadlines still distant. Scenarios that could challenge this include a star Republican recruit like a U.S. Senator, a Shapiro scandal, or national economic shifts favoring GOP messaging on taxes and crime.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$13,685終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro's sustained high approval ratings above 55% and successful first-term record on budget surpluses, infrastructure, and disaster response have solidified trader consensus at 94% for a Democratic win in Pennsylvania's 2026 gubernatorial election. Recent polling averages show Shapiro leading hypothetical Republican matchups by 15-20 points, amid a weak GOP field lacking a clear frontrunner following the 2024 cycle. No major developments in the past week have altered this dynamic, with primary filing deadlines still distant. Scenarios that could challenge this include a star Republican recruit like a U.S. Senator, a Shapiro scandal, or national economic shifts favoring GOP messaging on taxes and crime.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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