Recent polls from mid-March, including an Evitarus survey sponsored by the California Democratic Party (March 12-17) and Echelon Insights, show Republicans Steve Hilton and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco leading the top-two primary field at 16-20% and 14%, respectively, while Democrats Eric Swalwell, Katie Porter, and Tom Steyer trail at 10-15% each amid a fragmented field of eight Democratic contenders and 16-24% undecided voters. This vote split has elevated trader consensus on a Democrat-Republican matchup advancing (68%), as Democratic consolidation efforts intensify following party leaders' calls for lower-polling candidates to exit, though a Republican-Republican lockout remains viable at 12% given current polling averages and heavy self-funding by Steyer exceeding $100 million. The June 2 primary looms as the key catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日民主党・共和党 68%
民主－民主 20%
共和党-共和党 12.0%
$44,911 Vol.
$44,911 Vol.
Jun 2, 2026
民主党・共和党
68%
民主－民主
20%
共和党-共和党
12%
民主党・共和党 68%
民主－民主 20%
共和党-共和党 12.0%
$44,911 Vol.
$44,911 Vol.
Jun 2, 2026
民主党・共和党
$20,153 Vol.
68%
民主－民主
$19,092 Vol.
20%
共和党-共和党
$5,667 Vol.
12%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Recent polls from mid-March, including an Evitarus survey sponsored by the California Democratic Party (March 12-17) and Echelon Insights, show Republicans Steve Hilton and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco leading the top-two primary field at 16-20% and 14%, respectively, while Democrats Eric Swalwell, Katie Porter, and Tom Steyer trail at 10-15% each amid a fragmented field of eight Democratic contenders and 16-24% undecided voters. This vote split has elevated trader consensus on a Democrat-Republican matchup advancing (68%), as Democratic consolidation efforts intensify following party leaders' calls for lower-polling candidates to exit, though a Republican-Republican lockout remains viable at 12% given current polling averages and heavy self-funding by Steyer exceeding $100 million. The June 2 primary looms as the key catalyst.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
マーケット開始日： Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ET
音量
$44,911終了日
Jun 2, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Recent polls from mid-March, including an Evitarus survey sponsored by the California Democratic Party (March 12-17) and Echelon Insights, show Republicans Steve Hilton and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco leading the top-two primary field at 16-20% and 14%, respectively, while Democrats Eric Swalwell, Katie Porter, and Tom Steyer trail at 10-15% each amid a fragmented field of eight Democratic contenders and 16-24% undecided voters. This vote split has elevated trader consensus on a Democrat-Republican matchup advancing (68%), as Democratic consolidation efforts intensify following party leaders' calls for lower-polling candidates to exit, though a Republican-Republican lockout remains viable at 12% given current polling averages and heavy self-funding by Steyer exceeding $100 million. The June 2 primary looms as the key catalyst.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
音量
$44,911終了日
Jun 2, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls from mid-March, including an Evitarus survey sponsored by the California Democratic Party (March 12-17) and Echelon Insights, show Republicans Steve Hilton and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco leading the top-two primary field at 16-20% and 14%, respectively, while Democrats Eric Swalwell, Katie Porter, and Tom Steyer trail at 10-15% each amid a fragmented field of eight Democratic contenders and 16-24% undecided voters. This vote split has elevated trader consensus on a Democrat-Republican matchup advancing (68%), as Democratic consolidation efforts intensify following party leaders' calls for lower-polling candidates to exit, though a Republican-Republican lockout remains viable at 12% given current polling averages and heavy self-funding by Steyer exceeding $100 million. The June 2 primary looms as the key catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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