Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 87% in the Oregon gubernatorial race, reflecting the state's strong partisan lean toward Democrats—who have held the office since 1987—and incumbent Gov. Tina Kotek's early polling leads over Republican challengers like Christine Drazan (45%-40%), Ed Diehl (43%-37%), and Chris Dudley (45%-35%) from a February FM3 survey of likely voters. Despite Kotek's 42% disapproval rating and March losses of endorsements from the Oregon Education Association and Working Families Party amid criticism over housing and transportation policies, her minimal primary opposition contrasts with a fragmented GOP field ahead of the May 19 primaries. Race ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Likely Democratic) align with this skin-in-the-game assessment, though a unified Republican nominee could narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$11,047 Vol.
$11,047 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
87%
共和党
13%
$11,047 Vol.
$11,047 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,038 Vol.
87%
共和党
$5,009 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 87% in the Oregon gubernatorial race, reflecting the state's strong partisan lean toward Democrats—who have held the office since 1987—and incumbent Gov. Tina Kotek's early polling leads over Republican challengers like Christine Drazan (45%-40%), Ed Diehl (43%-37%), and Chris Dudley (45%-35%) from a February FM3 survey of likely voters. Despite Kotek's 42% disapproval rating and March losses of endorsements from the Oregon Education Association and Working Families Party amid criticism over housing and transportation policies, her minimal primary opposition contrasts with a fragmented GOP field ahead of the May 19 primaries. Race ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Likely Democratic) align with this skin-in-the-game assessment, though a unified Republican nominee could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
音量
$11,047終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 87% in the Oregon gubernatorial race, reflecting the state's strong partisan lean toward Democrats—who have held the office since 1987—and incumbent Gov. Tina Kotek's early polling leads over Republican challengers like Christine Drazan (45%-40%), Ed Diehl (43%-37%), and Chris Dudley (45%-35%) from a February FM3 survey of likely voters. Despite Kotek's 42% disapproval rating and March losses of endorsements from the Oregon Education Association and Working Families Party amid criticism over housing and transportation policies, her minimal primary opposition contrasts with a fragmented GOP field ahead of the May 19 primaries. Race ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Likely Democratic) align with this skin-in-the-game assessment, though a unified Republican nominee could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$11,047終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 87% in the Oregon gubernatorial race, reflecting the state's strong partisan lean toward Democrats—who have held the office since 1987—and incumbent Gov. Tina Kotek's early polling leads over Republican challengers like Christine Drazan (45%-40%), Ed Diehl (43%-37%), and Chris Dudley (45%-35%) from a February FM3 survey of likely voters. Despite Kotek's 42% disapproval rating and March losses of endorsements from the Oregon Education Association and Working Families Party amid criticism over housing and transportation policies, her minimal primary opposition contrasts with a fragmented GOP field ahead of the May 19 primaries. Race ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Likely Democratic) align with this skin-in-the-game assessment, though a unified Republican nominee could narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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