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政治·プライマリ

NY -10民主党予備選挙優勝者

Market icon
政治·プライマリ

NY -10民主党予備選挙優勝者

ブラッド・ランダー 76%

ダン・ゴールドマン 20%

キャメロン・カスキー 3.3%

ユーライン・ニュー 2.6%

Polymarket
NEW

ブラッド・ランダー 76%

ダン・ゴールドマン 20%

キャメロン・カスキー 3.3%

ユーライン・ニュー 2.6%

Polymarket
NEW

ブラッド・ランダー

$1,576 Vol.

76%

ダン・ゴールドマン

$1,028 Vol.

20%

キャメロン・カスキー

$619 Vol.

3%

ユーライン・ニュー

$557 Vol.

3%

アレクサ・アヴィレス

$834 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, reflecting his strong performance in the 2025 NYC mayoral race within the district—securing 23% behind winner Zohran Mamdani—and a September 2025 Data for Progress poll showing him with +59 favorability versus incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman's +19. Progressive endorsements from groups like UAW and DSA cleared his path after his December 2025 launch, bolstered by a March 3 Supreme Court ruling finalizing district lines. Recent escalation includes Lander's March 24 "People’s Pledge" push against dark money PACs, which Goldman has resisted amid mutual barbs. Goldman's club backing provides some counterbalance, while Niou, Kasky, and Avilés trail due to prior weak showings. Upcoming debates and fundraising could shift the closed primary dynamics.

Former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, reflecting his strong performance in the 2025 NYC mayoral race within the district—securing 23% behind winner Zohran Mamdani—and a September 2025 Data for Progress poll showing him with +59 favorability versus incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman's +19. Progressive endorsements from groups like UAW and DSA cleared his path after his December 2025 launch, bolstered by a March 3 Supreme Court ruling finalizing district lines. Recent escalation includes Lander's March 24 "People’s Pledge" push against dark money PACs, which Goldman has resisted amid mutual barbs. Goldman's club backing provides some counterbalance, while Niou, Kasky, and Avilés trail due to prior weak showings. Upcoming debates and fundraising could shift the closed primary dynamics.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, reflecting his strong performance in the 2025 NYC mayoral race within the district—securing 23% behind winner Zohran Mamdani—and a September 2025 Data for Progress poll showing him with +59 favorability versus incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman's +19. Progressive endorsements from groups like UAW and DSA cleared his path after his December 2025 launch, bolstered by a March 3 Supreme Court ruling finalizing district lines. Recent escalation includes Lander's March 24 "People’s Pledge" push against dark money PACs, which Goldman has resisted amid mutual barbs. Goldman's club backing provides some counterbalance, while Niou, Kasky, and Avilés trail due to prior weak showings. Upcoming debates and fundraising could shift the closed primary dynamics.

Former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, reflecting his strong performance in the 2025 NYC mayoral race within the district—securing 23% behind winner Zohran Mamdani—and a September 2025 Data for Progress poll showing him with +59 favorability versus incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman's +19. Progressive endorsements from groups like UAW and DSA cleared his path after his December 2025 launch, bolstered by a March 3 Supreme Court ruling finalizing district lines. Recent escalation includes Lander's March 24 "People’s Pledge" push against dark money PACs, which Goldman has resisted amid mutual barbs. Goldman's club backing provides some counterbalance, while Niou, Kasky, and Avilés trail due to prior weak showings. Upcoming debates and fundraising could shift the closed primary dynamics.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「NY -10民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ブラッド・ランダー」で76%、次いで「ダン・ゴールドマン」が20%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、76¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に76%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「NY -10民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Nov 25, 2025開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「NY -10民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「NY -10民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ブラッド・ランダー」で76%であり、市場がこの結果に76%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ダン・ゴールドマン」で20%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「NY -10民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。