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政治·プライマリ

NY -10民主党予備選挙優勝者

Market icon
政治·プライマリ

NY -10民主党予備選挙優勝者

ブラッド・ランダー 77%

ダン・ゴールドマン 19%

ユーライン・ニュー 3.1%

キャメロン・カスキー 2.8%

Polymarket
NEW

ブラッド・ランダー 77%

ダン・ゴールドマン 19%

ユーライン・ニュー 3.1%

キャメロン・カスキー 2.8%

Polymarket
NEW

ブラッド・ランダー

$1,538 Vol.

77%

ダン・ゴールドマン

$1,019 Vol.

19%

ユーライン・ニュー

$557 Vol.

3%

キャメロン・カスキー

$611 Vol.

3%

アレクサ・アヴィレス

$825 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander's high lead in trader consensus for the NY-10 Democratic primary stems from his December 2025 campaign launch challenging incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman, bolstered by progressive endorsements including from incoming Mayor Zohran Mamdani and support from Sens. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. A Supreme Court ruling on March 3 preserved district lines, solidifying the June 23 primary matchup, while Lander's recent March 23 NY1 appearance criticizing "status quo Democrats" and his call for a "People’s Pledge" against dark money—highlighting Goldman's $370,000 from AIPAC this cycle—has intensified scrutiny on the incumbent amid the district's left-leaning electorate. Goldman counters with union backing like DC37 and club endorsements, but traders see Lander's momentum from 2025 local races as the key driver, with minor candidates trailing far behind.

Former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander's high lead in trader consensus for the NY-10 Democratic primary stems from his December 2025 campaign launch challenging incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman, bolstered by progressive endorsements including from incoming Mayor Zohran Mamdani and support from Sens. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. A Supreme Court ruling on March 3 preserved district lines, solidifying the June 23 primary matchup, while Lander's recent March 23 NY1 appearance criticizing "status quo Democrats" and his call for a "People’s Pledge" against dark money—highlighting Goldman's $370,000 from AIPAC this cycle—has intensified scrutiny on the incumbent amid the district's left-leaning electorate. Goldman counters with union backing like DC37 and club endorsements, but traders see Lander's momentum from 2025 local races as the key driver, with minor candidates trailing far behind.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander's high lead in trader consensus for the NY-10 Democratic primary stems from his December 2025 campaign launch challenging incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman, bolstered by progressive endorsements including from incoming Mayor Zohran Mamdani and support from Sens. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. A Supreme Court ruling on March 3 preserved district lines, solidifying the June 23 primary matchup, while Lander's recent March 23 NY1 appearance criticizing "status quo Democrats" and his call for a "People’s Pledge" against dark money—highlighting Goldman's $370,000 from AIPAC this cycle—has intensified scrutiny on the incumbent amid the district's left-leaning electorate. Goldman counters with union backing like DC37 and club endorsements, but traders see Lander's momentum from 2025 local races as the key driver, with minor candidates trailing far behind.

Former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander's high lead in trader consensus for the NY-10 Democratic primary stems from his December 2025 campaign launch challenging incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman, bolstered by progressive endorsements including from incoming Mayor Zohran Mamdani and support from Sens. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. A Supreme Court ruling on March 3 preserved district lines, solidifying the June 23 primary matchup, while Lander's recent March 23 NY1 appearance criticizing "status quo Democrats" and his call for a "People’s Pledge" against dark money—highlighting Goldman's $370,000 from AIPAC this cycle—has intensified scrutiny on the incumbent amid the district's left-leaning electorate. Goldman counters with union backing like DC37 and club endorsements, but traders see Lander's momentum from 2025 local races as the key driver, with minor candidates trailing far behind.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「NY -10民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ブラッド・ランダー」で77%、次いで「ダン・ゴールドマン」が19%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、77¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に77%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「NY -10民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Nov 25, 2025開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「NY -10民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「NY -10民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ブラッド・ランダー」で77%であり、市場がこの結果に77%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ダン・ゴールドマン」で19%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「NY -10民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。