Market icon

ミネアポリス国境警備隊シューターは3月31日までに解雇/辞任しましたか?

Market icon

ミネアポリス国境警備隊シューターは3月31日までに解雇/辞任しましたか?

はい

4% chance
Polymarket

$55,195 Vol.

はい

4% chance
Polymarket

$55,195 Vol.

On January 24, 2026, a Border Patrol agent committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/24/us/politics/second-ice-shooting-minneapolis.html).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Border Patrol agent who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of his employing agency as of this market's creation for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$55,195
終了日
Mar 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Jan 26, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
On January 24, 2026, a Border Patrol agent committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/24/us/politics/second-ice-shooting-minneapolis.html). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Border Patrol agent who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of his employing agency as of this market's creation for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

On January 24, 2026, a Border Patrol agent committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/24/us/politics/second-ice-shooting-minneapolis.html).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Border Patrol agent who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of his employing agency as of this market's creation for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$55,195
終了日
Mar 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Jan 26, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
On January 24, 2026, a Border Patrol agent committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/24/us/politics/second-ice-shooting-minneapolis.html). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Border Patrol agent who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of his employing agency as of this market's creation for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"ミネアポリス国境警備隊シューターは3月31日までに解雇/辞任しましたか?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ミネアポリス国境警備隊の射撃犯は解雇される/3月31日までに辞任する?" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 4¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 4% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "ミネアポリス国境警備隊シューターは3月31日までに解雇/辞任しましたか?" has generated $55.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "ミネアポリス国境警備隊シューターは3月31日までに解雇/辞任しましたか?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "ミネアポリス国境警備隊シューターは3月31日までに解雇/辞任しましたか?" is "ミネアポリス国境警備隊の射撃犯は解雇される/3月31日までに辞任する?" at just 4%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "ミネアポリス国境警備隊シューターは3月31日までに解雇/辞任しましたか?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.