Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors the AfD to emerge as the strongest party in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, driven by consistent dominance in recent Sonntagsfrage polls from Forsa (37% in mid-February) and others through late March showing 34-37% support, doubling its 2021 result amid voter discontent over migration policy, economic stagnation, and federal government handling in eastern Germany. The incumbent SPD under Ministerpräsidentin Manuela Schwesig has slumped to 25-26% from 39.6% in 2021, while CDU lingers at 12-13%; other parties trail far behind. The AfD's firewall isolation by rivals like SPD, CDU, and Grüne precludes coalitions but does not affect the plurality winner market. No major shifts in the past 30 days, with polls stable ahead of potential campaign catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日AfD 85%
SPD 11%
CDU 2.4%
BSW <1%
$148,903 Vol.
$148,903 Vol.
2026/09/20
AfD
85%
SPD
11%
CDU
2%
BSW
1%
FDP
1%
グリューネ
1%
リンクェ
<1%
FW
<1%
AfD 85%
SPD 11%
CDU 2.4%
BSW <1%
$148,903 Vol.
$148,903 Vol.
2026/09/20
AfD
$4,594 Vol.
85%
SPD
$32,509 Vol.
11%
CDU
$24,980 Vol.
2%
BSW
$9,491 Vol.
1%
FDP
$31,062 Vol.
1%
グリューネ
$43,030 Vol.
1%
リンクェ
$3,238 Vol.
<1%
FW
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors the AfD to emerge as the strongest party in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, driven by consistent dominance in recent Sonntagsfrage polls from Forsa (37% in mid-February) and others through late March showing 34-37% support, doubling its 2021 result amid voter discontent over migration policy, economic stagnation, and federal government handling in eastern Germany. The incumbent SPD under Ministerpräsidentin Manuela Schwesig has slumped to 25-26% from 39.6% in 2021, while CDU lingers at 12-13%; other parties trail far behind. The AfD's firewall isolation by rivals like SPD, CDU, and Grüne precludes coalitions but does not affect the plurality winner market. No major shifts in the past 30 days, with polls stable ahead of potential campaign catalysts.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
音量
$148,903終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors the AfD to emerge as the strongest party in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, driven by consistent dominance in recent Sonntagsfrage polls from Forsa (37% in mid-February) and others through late March showing 34-37% support, doubling its 2021 result amid voter discontent over migration policy, economic stagnation, and federal government handling in eastern Germany. The incumbent SPD under Ministerpräsidentin Manuela Schwesig has slumped to 25-26% from 39.6% in 2021, while CDU lingers at 12-13%; other parties trail far behind. The AfD's firewall isolation by rivals like SPD, CDU, and Grüne precludes coalitions but does not affect the plurality winner market. No major shifts in the past 30 days, with polls stable ahead of potential campaign catalysts.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
音量
$148,903終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors the AfD to emerge as the strongest party in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, driven by consistent dominance in recent Sonntagsfrage polls from Forsa (37% in mid-February) and others through late March showing 34-37% support, doubling its 2021 result amid voter discontent over migration policy, economic stagnation, and federal government handling in eastern Germany. The incumbent SPD under Ministerpräsidentin Manuela Schwesig has slumped to 25-26% from 39.6% in 2021, while CDU lingers at 12-13%; other parties trail far behind. The AfD's firewall isolation by rivals like SPD, CDU, and Grüne precludes coalitions but does not affect the plurality winner market. No major shifts in the past 30 days, with polls stable ahead of potential campaign catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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