Maryland's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. The open seat following long-serving incumbent Steny Hoyer's retirement announcement in January has drawn multiple Democratic primary contenders ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republican primary candidates remain limited and face structural disadvantages in this southern Maryland district encompassing Charles, St. Mary's, and Calvert counties plus parts of Prince George's and Anne Arundel. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district's voting history and absence of recent polling or developments indicating a competitive general election on November 3. A national partisan shift or unforeseen primary outcome could theoretically narrow the margin, though no such catalysts have emerged in the past month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,921 Vol.
$15,921 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
4%
$15,921 Vol.
$15,921 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$8,513 Vol.
94%
共和党
$7,408 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. The open seat following long-serving incumbent Steny Hoyer's retirement announcement in January has drawn multiple Democratic primary contenders ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republican primary candidates remain limited and face structural disadvantages in this southern Maryland district encompassing Charles, St. Mary's, and Calvert counties plus parts of Prince George's and Anne Arundel. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district's voting history and absence of recent polling or developments indicating a competitive general election on November 3. A national partisan shift or unforeseen primary outcome could theoretically narrow the margin, though no such catalysts have emerged in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$15,921終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. The open seat following long-serving incumbent Steny Hoyer's retirement announcement in January has drawn multiple Democratic primary contenders ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republican primary candidates remain limited and face structural disadvantages in this southern Maryland district encompassing Charles, St. Mary's, and Calvert counties plus parts of Prince George's and Anne Arundel. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district's voting history and absence of recent polling or developments indicating a competitive general election on November 3. A national partisan shift or unforeseen primary outcome could theoretically narrow the margin, though no such catalysts have emerged in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,921終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. The open seat following long-serving incumbent Steny Hoyer's retirement announcement in January has drawn multiple Democratic primary contenders ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republican primary candidates remain limited and face structural disadvantages in this southern Maryland district encompassing Charles, St. Mary's, and Calvert counties plus parts of Prince George's and Anne Arundel. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district's voting history and absence of recent polling or developments indicating a competitive general election on November 3. A national partisan shift or unforeseen primary outcome could theoretically narrow the margin, though no such catalysts have emerged in the past month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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