Adrian Boafo secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland’s 5th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary after winning a crowded field with endorsements from retiring incumbent Steny Hoyer, Governor Wes Moore, and substantial outside spending from pro-Israel and cryptocurrency-aligned super PACs. The district’s strong Democratic lean—evident in Kamala Harris’s 33-point margin in 2024—positions the general election outcome as a near-certainty for the party nominee. Chris Chaffee advanced from a low-turnout Republican primary but faces limited resources and structural disadvantages in a seat last won by a Republican in 1972. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before November 3, though no such factors have emerged in recent months.