Market icon

Major cyberattack on Iran in June?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$17,449,127 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a major cyberattack occurs in Iran between June 11 and June 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, the attack must cause significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access affecting core national systems—such as critical infrastructure, state institutions, the financial system, defense networks, or nuclear facilities.

Examples of qualifying events include the 2021 and 2023 fuel network attacks, breaches of government or military systems resulting in leaked classified data, or the 2024 IRLeaks bank hack that disrupted a majority of Iran’s banking sector.

Smaller-scale incidents—such as attacks on individual organizations which do not target core national systems will not qualify.

Attacks which are thwarted without significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$17,449,127
終了日
Jun 30, 2025
作成日時
Jun 11, 2025, 6:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a major cyberattack occurs in Iran between June 11 and June 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the attack must cause significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access affecting core national systems—such as critical infrastructure, state institutions, the financial system, defense networks, or nuclear facilities. Examples of qualifying events include the 2021 and 2023 fuel network attacks, breaches of government or military systems resulting in leaked classified data, or the 2024 IRLeaks bank hack that disrupted a majority of Iran’s banking sector. Smaller-scale incidents—such as attacks on individual organizations which do not target core national systems will not qualify. Attacks which are thwarted without significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立て

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立て

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

Market icon

Major cyberattack on Iran in June?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$17,449,127 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a major cyberattack occurs in Iran between June 11 and June 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, the attack must cause significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access affecting core national systems—such as critical infrastructure, state institutions, the financial system, defense networks, or nuclear facilities.

Examples of qualifying events include the 2021 and 2023 fuel network attacks, breaches of government or military systems resulting in leaked classified data, or the 2024 IRLeaks bank hack that disrupted a majority of Iran’s banking sector.

Smaller-scale incidents—such as attacks on individual organizations which do not target core national systems will not qualify.

Attacks which are thwarted without significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$17,449,127
終了日
Jun 30, 2025
作成日時
Jun 11, 2025, 6:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a major cyberattack occurs in Iran between June 11 and June 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the attack must cause significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access affecting core national systems—such as critical infrastructure, state institutions, the financial system, defense networks, or nuclear facilities. Examples of qualifying events include the 2021 and 2023 fuel network attacks, breaches of government or military systems resulting in leaked classified data, or the 2024 IRLeaks bank hack that disrupted a majority of Iran’s banking sector. Smaller-scale incidents—such as attacks on individual organizations which do not target core national systems will not qualify. Attacks which are thwarted without significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立て

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立て

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。