Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, propelled by reports this week that the company plans to file its prospectus imminently—potentially raising over $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation. The recent acquisition of xAI, now fully integrated with all co-founders departed, positions SpaceX as an AI-space infrastructure powerhouse, bolstered by Starlink's milestone of 10,000 satellites and 9.2 million subscribers. OpenAI trails at 4% amid groundwork for a possible Q4 listing at up to $1 trillion, while others like Anthropic linger below 4% due to less concrete timelines; key watchpoints include SpaceX's filing confirmation and pricing details amid volatile tech IPO dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日スペースX 90%
OpenAI 4.0%
Anthropic 3.8%
Waymo <1%
$1,613,351 Vol.
$1,613,351 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
スペースX
90%
OpenAI
4%
Anthropic
4%
Waymo
1%
Discord
1%
クラーケン
<1%
バイトダンス
<1%
Stripe
<1%
Databricks
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
スペースX 90%
OpenAI 4.0%
Anthropic 3.8%
Waymo <1%
$1,613,351 Vol.
$1,613,351 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
スペースX
$177,972 Vol.
90%
OpenAI
$294,306 Vol.
4%
Anthropic
$341,867 Vol.
4%
Waymo
$43,744 Vol.
1%
Discord
$67,161 Vol.
1%
クラーケン
$371,822 Vol.
<1%
バイトダンス
$83,804 Vol.
<1%
Stripe
$37,018 Vol.
<1%
Databricks
$66,753 Vol.
<1%
Revolut
$24,513 Vol.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$52,802 Vol.
<1%
SHEIN
$51,590 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, propelled by reports this week that the company plans to file its prospectus imminently—potentially raising over $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation. The recent acquisition of xAI, now fully integrated with all co-founders departed, positions SpaceX as an AI-space infrastructure powerhouse, bolstered by Starlink's milestone of 10,000 satellites and 9.2 million subscribers. OpenAI trails at 4% amid groundwork for a possible Q4 listing at up to $1 trillion, while others like Anthropic linger below 4% due to less concrete timelines; key watchpoints include SpaceX's filing confirmation and pricing details amid volatile tech IPO dynamics.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
音量
$1,613,351終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, propelled by reports this week that the company plans to file its prospectus imminently—potentially raising over $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation. The recent acquisition of xAI, now fully integrated with all co-founders departed, positions SpaceX as an AI-space infrastructure powerhouse, bolstered by Starlink's milestone of 10,000 satellites and 9.2 million subscribers. OpenAI trails at 4% amid groundwork for a possible Q4 listing at up to $1 trillion, while others like Anthropic linger below 4% due to less concrete timelines; key watchpoints include SpaceX's filing confirmation and pricing details amid volatile tech IPO dynamics.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$1,613,351終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, propelled by reports this week that the company plans to file its prospectus imminently—potentially raising over $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation. The recent acquisition of xAI, now fully integrated with all co-founders departed, positions SpaceX as an AI-space infrastructure powerhouse, bolstered by Starlink's milestone of 10,000 satellites and 9.2 million subscribers. OpenAI trails at 4% amid groundwork for a possible Q4 listing at up to $1 trillion, while others like Anthropic linger below 4% due to less concrete timelines; key watchpoints include SpaceX's filing confirmation and pricing details amid volatile tech IPO dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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