Market icon

2月20日までにジュディ・シェルトン連邦準備制度理事会議長の指名確率が___を超えていますか?

Market icon

2月20日までにジュディ・シェルトン連邦準備制度理事会議長の指名確率が___を超えていますか?

$2,035,182 Vol.

Feb 20, 2026
Polymarket

$2,035,182 Vol.

Polymarket

5%超

$1,161,937 Vol.

いいえ

>10%

$873,245 Vol.

いいえ

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?' market in the Event 'Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?' (https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-nominate-as-fed-chair) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes for any 1-hour period between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on February 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/judy-shelton-fed-chair-nomination-odds-5-by-feb-20 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.comThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?' market in the Event 'Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?' (https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-nominate-as-fed-chair) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes for any 1-hour period between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on February 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/judy-shelton-fed-chair-nomination-odds-10-by-feb-20 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?' market in the Event 'Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?' (https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-nominate-as-fed-chair) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes for any 1-hour period between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on February 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/judy-shelton-fed-chair-nomination-odds-10-by-feb-20 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
音量
$2,035,182
終了日
Feb 20, 2026
マーケット開始日
Feb 12, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?' market in the Event 'Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?' (https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-nominate-as-fed-chair) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes for any 1-hour period between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on February 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/judy-shelton-fed-chair-nomination-odds-10-by-feb-20 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?' market in the Event 'Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?' (https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-nominate-as-fed-chair) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes for any 1-hour period between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on February 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/judy-shelton-fed-chair-nomination-odds-5-by-feb-20 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.comThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?' market in the Event 'Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?' (https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-nominate-as-fed-chair) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes for any 1-hour period between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on February 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/judy-shelton-fed-chair-nomination-odds-10-by-feb-20 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「2月20日までにジュディ・シェルトン連邦準備制度理事会議長の指名確率が___を超えていますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「5%超」で0%、次いで「>10%」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、0¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に0%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2月20日までにジュディ・シェルトン連邦準備制度理事会議長の指名確率が___を超えていますか?」は$2 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Feb 13, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2月20日までにジュディ・シェルトン連邦準備制度理事会議長の指名確率が___を超えていますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「2月20日までにジュディ・シェルトン連邦準備制度理事会議長の指名確率が___を超えていますか?」の現在のリーダーは「5%超」でわずか0%、「>10%」が0%で僅差です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2月20日までにジュディ・シェルトン連邦準備制度理事会議長の指名確率が___を超えていますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。