A US-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, effective April 16, 2026, has paused Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon—limited since mid-March to areas south of the Litani River targeting Hezbollah infrastructure—preventing any advance toward Beirut and signaling de-escalation through direct bilateral talks. Airstrikes have hit Beirut suburbs amid the 2026 Israel-Hezbollah war, but no verified ground incursions into the capital occurred, with Lebanon's army deploying to secure the city against Hezbollah re-entry. Traders monitor truce violations like sporadic rocket exchanges, with expiration around April 26 and US-facilitated negotiations as pivotal events that could either extend the pause or prompt renewed military action.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$139,875 Vol.
2026/04/30
4月30日
2%
$139,875 Vol.
4月30日
$105,254 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A US-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, effective April 16, 2026, has paused Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon—limited since mid-March to areas south of the Litani River targeting Hezbollah infrastructure—preventing any advance toward Beirut and signaling de-escalation through direct bilateral talks. Airstrikes have hit Beirut suburbs amid the 2026 Israel-Hezbollah war, but no verified ground incursions into the capital occurred, with Lebanon's army deploying to secure the city against Hezbollah re-entry. Traders monitor truce violations like sporadic rocket exchanges, with expiration around April 26 and US-facilitated negotiations as pivotal events that could either extend the pause or prompt renewed military action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ET
音量
$139,875終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A US-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, effective April 16, 2026, has paused Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon—limited since mid-March to areas south of the Litani River targeting Hezbollah infrastructure—preventing any advance toward Beirut and signaling de-escalation through direct bilateral talks. Airstrikes have hit Beirut suburbs amid the 2026 Israel-Hezbollah war, but no verified ground incursions into the capital occurred, with Lebanon's army deploying to secure the city against Hezbollah re-entry. Traders monitor truce violations like sporadic rocket exchanges, with expiration around April 26 and US-facilitated negotiations as pivotal events that could either extend the pause or prompt renewed military action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$139,875終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A US-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, effective April 16, 2026, has paused Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon—limited since mid-March to areas south of the Litani River targeting Hezbollah infrastructure—preventing any advance toward Beirut and signaling de-escalation through direct bilateral talks. Airstrikes have hit Beirut suburbs amid the 2026 Israel-Hezbollah war, but no verified ground incursions into the capital occurred, with Lebanon's army deploying to secure the city against Hezbollah re-entry. Traders monitor truce violations like sporadic rocket exchanges, with expiration around April 26 and US-facilitated negotiations as pivotal events that could either extend the pause or prompt renewed military action.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問