Polymarket traders price a 59.5% implied probability for a SpaceX IPO in June 2026, driven by Bloomberg and Reuters reports of the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC in late March, targeting a record $75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion valuation—potentially rising to $2 trillion. This reflects accelerating Starlink cash flows, Starship milestones, and xAI merger synergies unlocking orbital compute potential ahead of rivals like OpenAI. July at 18.6% captures slippage risks from regulatory review or market volatility, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6.7% accounts for execution hurdles. Traders eye the public prospectus in late May and roadshow for pricing catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日6月 60%
7月 18.5%
8月 9.3%
9月 7.2%
$163,944 Vol.
$163,944 Vol.
2026/12/31
4月
1%
5月
2%
6月
60%
7月
20%
8月
9%
9月
7%
10月
1%
11月
4%
12月
1%
2027年以前にIPOなし
7%
6月 60%
7月 18.5%
8月 9.3%
9月 7.2%
$163,944 Vol.
$163,944 Vol.
2026/12/31
4月
$20,865 Vol.
1%
5月
$10,417 Vol.
2%
6月
$64,343 Vol.
60%
7月
$1,823 Vol.
20%
8月
$1,607 Vol.
9%
9月
$2,584 Vol.
7%
10月
$2,268 Vol.
1%
11月
$1,539 Vol.
4%
12月
$1,481 Vol.
1%
2027年以前にIPOなし
$3,937 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Polymarket traders price a 59.5% implied probability for a SpaceX IPO in June 2026, driven by Bloomberg and Reuters reports of the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC in late March, targeting a record $75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion valuation—potentially rising to $2 trillion. This reflects accelerating Starlink cash flows, Starship milestones, and xAI merger synergies unlocking orbital compute potential ahead of rivals like OpenAI. July at 18.6% captures slippage risks from regulatory review or market volatility, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6.7% accounts for execution hurdles. Traders eye the public prospectus in late May and roadshow for pricing catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
マーケット開始日： Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
音量
$163,944終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Polymarket traders price a 59.5% implied probability for a SpaceX IPO in June 2026, driven by Bloomberg and Reuters reports of the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC in late March, targeting a record $75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion valuation—potentially rising to $2 trillion. This reflects accelerating Starlink cash flows, Starship milestones, and xAI merger synergies unlocking orbital compute potential ahead of rivals like OpenAI. July at 18.6% captures slippage risks from regulatory review or market volatility, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6.7% accounts for execution hurdles. Traders eye the public prospectus in late May and roadshow for pricing catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
音量
$163,944終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 59.5% implied probability for a SpaceX IPO in June 2026, driven by Bloomberg and Reuters reports of the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC in late March, targeting a record $75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion valuation—potentially rising to $2 trillion. This reflects accelerating Starlink cash flows, Starship milestones, and xAI merger synergies unlocking orbital compute potential ahead of rivals like OpenAI. July at 18.6% captures slippage risks from regulatory review or market volatility, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6.7% accounts for execution hurdles. Traders eye the public prospectus in late May and roadshow for pricing catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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