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政治·中間選考

IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
政治·中間選考

IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner

André Carson 92%

George Hornedo 3.9%

Destiny Scott Wells 3.6%

Denise Paul Hatch 1.7%

Polymarket
NEW

André Carson 92%

George Hornedo 3.9%

Destiny Scott Wells 3.6%

Denise Paul Hatch 1.7%

Polymarket
NEW

André Carson

$761 Vol.

92%

George Hornedo

$0 Vol.

4%

Destiny Scott Wells

$0 Vol.

4%

Denise Paul Hatch

$1,950 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. André Carson commands 91.5% trader consensus in the IN-07 Democratic primary due to his 18-year tenure in the safely Democratic district (Cook PVI D+21) and overwhelming 2024 primary victory by 85 points, reflecting strong incumbency advantages and limited challenger momentum. Recent filings finalized in February confirmed three underdogs—George Hornedo, a former Obama staffer; Destiny Scott Wells, a repeat statewide candidate; and Denise Paul Hatch—but no polls, major endorsements, or fundraising surges have emerged in the past 30 days to erode Carson's position ahead of the May 5 primary. While late scandals, health issues, or unexpected voter turnout shifts could challenge this, historical primary patterns heavily favor the established incumbent.

Incumbent U.S. Rep. André Carson commands 91.5% trader consensus in the IN-07 Democratic primary due to his 18-year tenure in the safely Democratic district (Cook PVI D+21) and overwhelming 2024 primary victory by 85 points, reflecting strong incumbency advantages and limited challenger momentum. Recent filings finalized in February confirmed three underdogs—George Hornedo, a former Obama staffer; Destiny Scott Wells, a repeat statewide candidate; and Denise Paul Hatch—but no polls, major endorsements, or fundraising surges have emerged in the past 30 days to erode Carson's position ahead of the May 5 primary. While late scandals, health issues, or unexpected voter turnout shifts could challenge this, historical primary patterns heavily favor the established incumbent.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. André Carson commands 91.5% trader consensus in the IN-07 Democratic primary due to his 18-year tenure in the safely Democratic district (Cook PVI D+21) and overwhelming 2024 primary victory by 85 points, reflecting strong incumbency advantages and limited challenger momentum. Recent filings finalized in February confirmed three underdogs—George Hornedo, a former Obama staffer; Destiny Scott Wells, a repeat statewide candidate; and Denise Paul Hatch—but no polls, major endorsements, or fundraising surges have emerged in the past 30 days to erode Carson's position ahead of the May 5 primary. While late scandals, health issues, or unexpected voter turnout shifts could challenge this, historical primary patterns heavily favor the established incumbent.

Incumbent U.S. Rep. André Carson commands 91.5% trader consensus in the IN-07 Democratic primary due to his 18-year tenure in the safely Democratic district (Cook PVI D+21) and overwhelming 2024 primary victory by 85 points, reflecting strong incumbency advantages and limited challenger momentum. Recent filings finalized in February confirmed three underdogs—George Hornedo, a former Obama staffer; Destiny Scott Wells, a repeat statewide candidate; and Denise Paul Hatch—but no polls, major endorsements, or fundraising surges have emerged in the past 30 days to erode Carson's position ahead of the May 5 primary. While late scandals, health issues, or unexpected voter turnout shifts could challenge this, historical primary patterns heavily favor the established incumbent.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「André Carson」で92%、次いで「George Hornedo」が4%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、92¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に92%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 20, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「André Carson」で92%であり、市場がこの結果に92%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「George Hornedo」で4%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。