Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Mi Hazánk for third place in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting consistent opinion polls from late March and early April placing the far-right party at 5-6% nationally, ahead of the fragmented left-wing opposition including DK at 2% and MKKP at 1%. This positioning stems from TISZA's surge to challenge Fidesz-KDNP for first while Mi Hazánk consolidates nationalist voters disillusioned with the incumbent but unwilling to back Péter Magyar's centre-right platform. Recent surveys, like those from 21 Research and Závecz, underscore this hierarchy amid stable smaller-party dynamics. Barring a late scandal, opposition consolidation, or polling error exposed on election day, Mi Hazánk's lead appears unassailable under the mixed-member proportional system.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Hungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Hungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Mi Hazánk 97.9%
DK 1.1%
MKKP 1.0%
MSZP <1%
$58,850 Vol.
$58,850 Vol.
2026/04/12
Mi Hazánk
98%
DK
1%
MKKP
1%
MSZP
<1%
Párbeszéd
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP
<1%
Momentum
<1%
TISZA
<1%
Jobbik
<1%
LMP
<1%
Mi Hazánk 97.9%
DK 1.1%
MKKP 1.0%
MSZP <1%
$58,850 Vol.
$58,850 Vol.
2026/04/12
Mi Hazánk
$38,659 Vol.
98%
DK
$1,871 Vol.
1%
MKKP
$1,953 Vol.
1%
MSZP
$1,766 Vol.
<1%
Párbeszéd
$1,651 Vol.
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP
$1,878 Vol.
<1%
Momentum
$3,232 Vol.
<1%
TISZA
$1,528 Vol.
<1%
Jobbik
$1,683 Vol.
<1%
LMP
$4,630 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Mi Hazánk for third place in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting consistent opinion polls from late March and early April placing the far-right party at 5-6% nationally, ahead of the fragmented left-wing opposition including DK at 2% and MKKP at 1%. This positioning stems from TISZA's surge to challenge Fidesz-KDNP for first while Mi Hazánk consolidates nationalist voters disillusioned with the incumbent but unwilling to back Péter Magyar's centre-right platform. Recent surveys, like those from 21 Research and Závecz, underscore this hierarchy amid stable smaller-party dynamics. Barring a late scandal, opposition consolidation, or polling error exposed on election day, Mi Hazánk's lead appears unassailable under the mixed-member proportional system.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
マーケット開始日： Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
音量
$58,850終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Mi Hazánk for third place in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting consistent opinion polls from late March and early April placing the far-right party at 5-6% nationally, ahead of the fragmented left-wing opposition including DK at 2% and MKKP at 1%. This positioning stems from TISZA's surge to challenge Fidesz-KDNP for first while Mi Hazánk consolidates nationalist voters disillusioned with the incumbent but unwilling to back Péter Magyar's centre-right platform. Recent surveys, like those from 21 Research and Závecz, underscore this hierarchy amid stable smaller-party dynamics. Barring a late scandal, opposition consolidation, or polling error exposed on election day, Mi Hazánk's lead appears unassailable under the mixed-member proportional system.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
音量
$58,850終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Mi Hazánk for third place in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting consistent opinion polls from late March and early April placing the far-right party at 5-6% nationally, ahead of the fragmented left-wing opposition including DK at 2% and MKKP at 1%. This positioning stems from TISZA's surge to challenge Fidesz-KDNP for first while Mi Hazánk consolidates nationalist voters disillusioned with the incumbent but unwilling to back Péter Magyar's centre-right platform. Recent surveys, like those from 21 Research and Závecz, underscore this hierarchy amid stable smaller-party dynamics. Barring a late scandal, opposition consolidation, or polling error exposed on election day, Mi Hazánk's lead appears unassailable under the mixed-member proportional system.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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