Trader consensus favors a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or more at 37.5%, reflecting President Trump's history of extended grips with President Xi Jinping—such as the 27-second exchange during their 2019 Osaka G20 bilateral meeting—and his signature diplomatic style emphasizing firm, drawn-out greetings to project strength. The market anticipates their rescheduled Beijing summit on May 14-15, confirmed in late March amid U.S. Hormuz blockade tensions over Iran that briefly delayed the visit but did not derail it, as Trump expressed eagerness for direct talks. Shorter durations trail due to precedent, while low odds on no handshake or photo-only underscore expectations of standard protocol in high-stakes U.S.-China diplomacy.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日15秒以上 38%
10～15秒 19%
6～10秒 18%
2〜6秒 12%
$66,419 Vol.
$66,419 Vol.
2026/12/31
握手なし
5%
2秒未満
3%
2〜6秒
12%
6～10秒
18%
10～15秒
19%
15秒以上
38%
写真のみ
2%
15秒以上 38%
10～15秒 19%
6～10秒 18%
2〜6秒 12%
$66,419 Vol.
$66,419 Vol.
2026/12/31
握手なし
$11,455 Vol.
5%
2秒未満
$13,587 Vol.
3%
2〜6秒
$11,231 Vol.
12%
6～10秒
$4,170 Vol.
18%
10～15秒
$3,924 Vol.
19%
15秒以上
$9,319 Vol.
38%
写真のみ
$12,732 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus favors a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or more at 37.5%, reflecting President Trump's history of extended grips with President Xi Jinping—such as the 27-second exchange during their 2019 Osaka G20 bilateral meeting—and his signature diplomatic style emphasizing firm, drawn-out greetings to project strength. The market anticipates their rescheduled Beijing summit on May 14-15, confirmed in late March amid U.S. Hormuz blockade tensions over Iran that briefly delayed the visit but did not derail it, as Trump expressed eagerness for direct talks. Shorter durations trail due to precedent, while low odds on no handshake or photo-only underscore expectations of standard protocol in high-stakes U.S.-China diplomacy.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
マーケット開始日： Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
音量
$66,419終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus favors a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or more at 37.5%, reflecting President Trump's history of extended grips with President Xi Jinping—such as the 27-second exchange during their 2019 Osaka G20 bilateral meeting—and his signature diplomatic style emphasizing firm, drawn-out greetings to project strength. The market anticipates their rescheduled Beijing summit on May 14-15, confirmed in late March amid U.S. Hormuz blockade tensions over Iran that briefly delayed the visit but did not derail it, as Trump expressed eagerness for direct talks. Shorter durations trail due to precedent, while low odds on no handshake or photo-only underscore expectations of standard protocol in high-stakes U.S.-China diplomacy.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
音量
$66,419終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or more at 37.5%, reflecting President Trump's history of extended grips with President Xi Jinping—such as the 27-second exchange during their 2019 Osaka G20 bilateral meeting—and his signature diplomatic style emphasizing firm, drawn-out greetings to project strength. The market anticipates their rescheduled Beijing summit on May 14-15, confirmed in late March amid U.S. Hormuz blockade tensions over Iran that briefly delayed the visit but did not derail it, as Trump expressed eagerness for direct talks. Shorter durations trail due to precedent, while low odds on no handshake or photo-only underscore expectations of standard protocol in high-stakes U.S.-China diplomacy.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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