Market icon
政治·中国

習近平は2027年までに離婚？

Market icon
政治·中国

習近平は2027年までに離婚？

はい

3% chance
Polymarket

$74,366 Vol.

はい

3% chance
Polymarket

$74,366 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors no divorce for Xi Jinping before 2027, reflecting the absence of any credible reports, official statements, or verifiable rumors suggesting marital discord with Peng Liyuan, his wife since 1987. Recent public activities, including Peng's January 2026 tea chat in Beijing with South Korea's first lady and ongoing state media portrayals of their enduring partnership, reinforce perceptions of stability amid China's tightly controlled elite politics. Xi's unchallenged paramount leadership within the Chinese Communist Party further diminishes prospects for personal disruptions that could undermine his authority. While extraordinary scenarios like a major health crisis, political purge, or leaked scandal could shift odds, no such catalysts have emerged in over 30 years of their marriage.

Trader consensus heavily favors no divorce for Xi Jinping before 2027, reflecting the absence of any credible reports, official statements, or verifiable rumors suggesting marital discord with Peng Liyuan, his wife since 1987. Recent public activities, including Peng's January 2026 tea chat in Beijing with South Korea's first lady and ongoing state media portrayals of their enduring partnership, reinforce perceptions of stability amid China's tightly controlled elite politics. Xi's unchallenged paramount leadership within the Chinese Communist Party further diminishes prospects for personal disruptions that could undermine his authority. While extraordinary scenarios like a major health crisis, political purge, or leaked scandal could shift odds, no such catalysts have emerged in over 30 years of their marriage.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors no divorce for Xi Jinping before 2027, reflecting the absence of any credible reports, official statements, or verifiable rumors suggesting marital discord with Peng Liyuan, his wife since 1987. Recent public activities, including Peng's January 2026 tea chat in Beijing with South Korea's first lady and ongoing state media portrayals of their enduring partnership, reinforce perceptions of stability amid China's tightly controlled elite politics. Xi's unchallenged paramount leadership within the Chinese Communist Party further diminishes prospects for personal disruptions that could undermine his authority. While extraordinary scenarios like a major health crisis, political purge, or leaked scandal could shift odds, no such catalysts have emerged in over 30 years of their marriage.

Trader consensus heavily favors no divorce for Xi Jinping before 2027, reflecting the absence of any credible reports, official statements, or verifiable rumors suggesting marital discord with Peng Liyuan, his wife since 1987. Recent public activities, including Peng's January 2026 tea chat in Beijing with South Korea's first lady and ongoing state media portrayals of their enduring partnership, reinforce perceptions of stability amid China's tightly controlled elite politics. Xi's unchallenged paramount leadership within the Chinese Communist Party further diminishes prospects for personal disruptions that could undermine his authority. While extraordinary scenarios like a major health crisis, political purge, or leaked scandal could shift odds, no such catalysts have emerged in over 30 years of their marriage.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「習近平は2027年までに離婚？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「習近平は2027年前に離婚しますか？」で3%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、3¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に3%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「習近平は2027年までに離婚？」は$74.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 30, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「習近平は2027年までに離婚？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「習近平は2027年までに離婚？」の現在のリーダーは「習近平は2027年前に離婚しますか？」でわずか3%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「習近平は2027年までに離婚？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。