Traders assign a 98.5% implied probability that Xi Jinping will not divorce before 2027 because the private lives of senior Chinese Communist Party leaders remain tightly shielded from public scrutiny, with no verified reports, official statements, or credible signals of marital strain emerging in recent years. Succession planning and stability within the party apparatus further reduce the likelihood of personal announcements that could affect leadership perceptions. While late-breaking health developments, internal political shifts, or unprecedented disclosures could theoretically alter the outcome, such events have no precedent in the modern era and would require extraordinary confirmation before shifting the current trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$90,965 Vol.
$90,965 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$90,965 Vol.
$90,965 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Traders assign a 98.5% implied probability that Xi Jinping will not divorce before 2027 because the private lives of senior Chinese Communist Party leaders remain tightly shielded from public scrutiny, with no verified reports, official statements, or credible signals of marital strain emerging in recent years. Succession planning and stability within the party apparatus further reduce the likelihood of personal announcements that could affect leadership perceptions. While late-breaking health developments, internal political shifts, or unprecedented disclosures could theoretically alter the outcome, such events have no precedent in the modern era and would require extraordinary confirmation before shifting the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
マーケット開始日： Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ET
音量
$90,965終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Traders assign a 98.5% implied probability that Xi Jinping will not divorce before 2027 because the private lives of senior Chinese Communist Party leaders remain tightly shielded from public scrutiny, with no verified reports, official statements, or credible signals of marital strain emerging in recent years. Succession planning and stability within the party apparatus further reduce the likelihood of personal announcements that could affect leadership perceptions. While late-breaking health developments, internal political shifts, or unprecedented disclosures could theoretically alter the outcome, such events have no precedent in the modern era and would require extraordinary confirmation before shifting the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
音量
$90,965終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 98.5% implied probability that Xi Jinping will not divorce before 2027 because the private lives of senior Chinese Communist Party leaders remain tightly shielded from public scrutiny, with no verified reports, official statements, or credible signals of marital strain emerging in recent years. Succession planning and stability within the party apparatus further reduce the likelihood of personal announcements that could affect leadership perceptions. While late-breaking health developments, internal political shifts, or unprecedented disclosures could theoretically alter the outcome, such events have no precedent in the modern era and would require extraordinary confirmation before shifting the current trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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